Hope for snow 22-24 Jan …

Tommy found some pretty good snow near Lobo Overlook! – Pic taken 1/12/2026

Tuesday – 13 Jan 2026 – 3:15pm

The past…

Stevens Field Observations

Sunday: High: 44, Low: 11, Peak Wind: 9mph

Monday: High: 50, Low: 16, Peak Wind: 7mph

Average High	Record High / Year	Average Low	Record Low / Year
38	59 / 1956	2	-42 / 1963

Precipitation summary… There was no measurable precip in the last 24 hours.

Current satellite and radar…

Water vapor satellite Tuesday afternoon – A big ole Rex block has set up along the west coast and forcing the jet stream, purple arrows well to our north. The Rex block will keep most of the western US dry for at least the next week. — Water vapor satellite Tuesday afternoon – A big ole Rex block has set up along the west coast and forcing the jet stream, purple arrows, well to our north. The Rex block will keep most of the western US dry for at least the next week.

There is nothing on radar in our area Tuesday afternoon.

Forecast highlights…

*** We’ll have lots of blue sky and will be dry for another week. ***

*** A storm is trying to take shape 22-24 Jan. ***

Forecast details…

Rest of Tuesday through next Tuesday… A Rex block will keep most of the western US dry. In our area, occasional patches of high clouds will move through, but we’ll have lots of sun and light winds. Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday temps will be 10-15 degrees warmer than average.

A weak cold front will move through our area Thursday evening. The only impacts to us are slightly stronger winds on Friday and temps around 5 degrees cooler starting Friday.

Temps…

Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday highs will be in the high 40s to mid-50s and lows will be in the high teens to high 20s.

Friday and Saturday highs will be in the mid-40s to the low 50s and lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s.

Sunday, Monday, and next Tuesday highs will be in the mid-40s to low 50s and lows will be in the high teens to high 20s.

Winds…

Wednesday and Thursday, afternoon peak winds will be 5-10mph in the Pagosa area and 15-20mph in the high country.

Friday, afternoon gusts will be 10-15mph near Pagosa and around 30mph in the high country.

Saturday through next Tuesday, each afternoon peak winds will be 5-10mph in the Pagosa area and 15-20mph in the high country.

NBM precip to next Tuesday at 11pm a little precip for the northern Colorado mountains and nothing for southern Colorado. — *NBM precip to next Tuesday at 11pm shows a little precip for the northern Colorado mountains and nothing for southern Colorado.*

20 Jan to 28 Jan… The ridge will weaken just enough to allow a weak storm to move through 22-24 Jan and then the ridge wants to build right back up – ugh.

These are the 15-day ensemble precip totals for the four primary models. In the upper left, Euro ensemble shows 0.71” in the Pagosa area. In the upper right, Euro AI ensemble shows 0.64”. In the bottom left, GFS ensemble shows 0.86”. In the bottom right, GFS AI ensemble shows 1.25”.

*Wolf Creek Euro ensemble 15-day snow shows 11”.*

*Pagosa Springs Euro ensemble 15-day snow shows 6.2”.*

The next post will be on Thursday.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

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