Another gorgeous Pagosa Country sunset! – Pic taken 7/30/2025
Thursday – 31 Jul 2025 – 9:00pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temperature on Wednesday was 85, and on Thursday it was 83. The low this morning was 47. The cold spots were near 40.
The minimum relative humidity Wednesday afternoon was 18% and Thursday afternoon it was 19%.
The peak wind at Stevens Field on Wednesday was 32mph and on Thursday it was 31mph.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 82 | 94 / 1940 | 47 | 34 / 1913 |
Precipitation summary… Most reports from yesterday and Tuesday were zero or a trace, but a couple of folks got a good soaking.
Fire and smoke…
As of Thursday evening, The Rim Road Fire west of Ignacio is at 114 acres and is 75% contained.
As of Thursday evening, the Elkhorn Fire north of Durango is 317 acres and is 15% contained.
Thankfully the air is clear, and air quality is good across Archuleta County.
*** Mid-level winds could turn more westerly Friday night which would push smoke from the 100,000+ acre Dragon Bravo Fire in northern AZ into our area. ***
Forecast discussion…
Forecast highlights…
*** Stage 1 Fire Restrictions are in effect for the entire San Juan National Forest. ***
*** Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms Friday and then just a slight chance for an isolated shower or thunderstorm on Saturday. ***
*** Sunny, dry, and warm, with gusty afternoon winds Sunday through Tuesday. Concerned about fire danger. ***
*** Just a slight chance for an isolated shower or thunderstorm the rest of next week. ***
*** The 8-15 day period does not look encouraging. ***
*** Recent rainfall across Pagosa Country has varied considerably. Fire danger remains high. New lightning fires are possible. If you spot smoke, call Archuleta County dispatch at 970-731-2160. ***
Rest of Thursday through next Thursday… The monsoon plume will weaken Friday and Saturday and then get cut-off Sunday through Tuesday. The second half of next week a little more moisture will move in.
And what does that mean? A few scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms Friday and then just a slight chance on Saturday. Sunday through next Tuesday will be sunny, warm, and dry with gusty afternoon winds. Wednesday through the rest of next week there is just a slight chance for an isolated afternoon shower or thunderstorm.
Temps…
Friday highs will be near 80 to the high 80s and lows will be in the mid-40s to mid-50s.
Saturday highs will be in the low to high 80s and lows will be in the low 40s to low 50s.
Sunday through next Thursday highs will be in the mid-80s to low 90s and lows will be in the low 40s to low 50s.
Winds… Afternoon gusts Friday will be 15-20mph. Saturday through Tuesday afternoon gusts will be around 25mph. Wednesday and next Thursday afternoon gusts will be 15-20mph. As always, stronger isolated gusts are likely near a shower or thunderstorm.
The 8-14 day period… A weak monsoon pattern with weak moisture and weak instability will set up. Expect isolated showers and thunderstorms most afternoons. Precip amounts will be mostly light.
Unless something interesting pops up, the next post will be on Saturday.
– Shawn
