Tommy keeping an eye on those storms popping up over the mountains – pic taken 7/1/2025
Wednesday – 2 Jul 2025 – 6:50pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temperature on Monday was 82, and on Tuesday it was 83. The low this morning was 44. The cold spots were in the high 30s.
The minimum relative humidity Monday afternoon was 15% and Tuesday afternoon it was 18%.
The peak wind at Stevens Field on Monday was 29mph and on Tuesday it was 28mph.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 82 | 94 / 1990 | 42 | 26 / 1951 |
Precipitation summary… There have been a few weak showers over the last 2 days, but precip amounts were light.
Forecast discussion…
Forecast highlights…
*** Stage 1 Fire Restrictions are in effect for the lower elevations of the San Juan National Forest. ***
*** Hit and miss showers and thunderstorms Thursday afternoon into the evening. ***
*** Friday through Sunday will be mostly dry and sunny. ***
*** Weak monsoon activity next week with spotty, light precip amounts. ***
Rest of Wednesday through Thursday… We’re under a surge of monsoon moisture and instability. There will be hit and miss showers and thunderstorms Thursday afternoon into the evening. Precip amounts will be light and spotty.
Temps… Wednesday night lows will be in the low 40s to low 50s. Thursday highs will be in the mid-70s to mid-80s and lows will be in the near 40 to near 50.
Winds… Afternoon gusts will be 15-20mph, but isolated higher gusts are likely near showers and thunderstorms.
Friday through Sunday… Drier, more stable air will move in. There’s a slight chance for an isolated afternoon shower or thunderstorm, mostly over the mountains. I think the Pagosa area will stay dry.
Temps… Friday highs will be in the high 70s to high 80s and lows will be near 40 to near 50. Saturday and Sunday highs will be in the low 80s to low 90s and lows will be in the low 40s to low 50s.
Winds… Afternoon gusts will be around 20mph.
Monday through next Friday… The high will wobble between the Four Corners and Vegas. This results in weak monsoon action for us. Moisture and instability will be marginal resulting in just a few isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Precip amounts will be light and spotty.
*** Fire danger will remain high. ***
Temps… Highs will be in the low 80s to low 90s and lows will be in the low 40s to low 50s.
Winds… Afternoon gusts will be 15-20mph, but isolated stronger gusts are possible near showers and thunderstorms.
The 8-14 day period… The monsoon will stick with us, so we’ll see scattered showers and thunderstorms most afternoons.
This is all spotty convective precip so amounts will vary considerably. We’re playing the rain lottery!
The next post will be on Friday.
– Shawn
