It looks pretty nasty up at Wolf Creek. They closed today due to strong winds. – Wolf Creek Ski Area summit cam at 1:30pm.
Tuesday – 1 Apr 2025 – 3:45pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temperature on Monday was 45 and as of 3pm Tuesday it was 43. The low this morning was 39.
The peak wind at Stevens Field on Monday was 32mph. The peak wind as of 3pm Tuesday was 45mph at 1:35pm
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 54 | 72 / 1966 | 20 | -4 / 1980 |
Precipitation summary… Scattered snowflakes and graupel fell over parts of Archuleta County on Tuesday. It hasn’t been impressive, but we’ll wait for the CoCoRaHS reports tomorrow morning.
Wolf Creek reported 3” of snow overnight but decided not to open due strong winds.
Forecast discussion…
Forecast highlights…
*** The WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY for the southwest San Juan Mountains will expire at 9pm tonight. *** This does not include Pagosa Springs.
*** The WIND ADVISORY for the San Juan River basin expires at 6pm tonight. This includes Pagosa Springs. ***
*** Next round of precip Wednesday evening into Thursday evening. ***
*** Another round of precip Friday afternoon into Saturday evening. ***
*** Travel along the I-25 corridor could be rough Friday night into Saturday afternoon. ***
*** Lots of sun and warmer next week. ***
Rest of Tuesday into next Sunday afternoon… The first of three systems will move through Tuesday evening. An isolated thunderstorm or two is possible until sunset Tuesday. Clouds will clear overnight leading to a chilly morning.
The low currently over northern CA will sink southeast into the northern AZ area and then wobble around for a few days. It will spin off a couple of weak troughs that will push bands of showers through the region.
Below are the best chances for precip. Spotty showers are possible between these periods and into Sunday afternoon, mostly over the mountains.
– Wednesday evening into Thursday evening
– Friday afternoon into Saturday evening
Snow levels will bounce between 6,000ft each night to 7,200ft each afternoon.
We won’t need our snowblowers and snow shovels. Temps will be in the mid-30s to low 40s each afternoon so snow will struggle to accumulate. Any snow that falls during the night will melt in the afternoons.
Additional snow Tuesday afternoon to Wednesday morning…
Mountains above 9,000ft: 1-2”
Pagosa area: up to a half inch in the Chromo and Chama areas
Snow amounts Wednesday morning to sunrise Friday… Most of this will fall Wednesday evening into Thursday evening.
Mountains: 3-6”
Pagosa area: up to 2”
Snow amounts Friday morning to Sunday afternoon… Most of this will fall Friday afternoon into Saturday evening.
Mountains: 4-8”
Pagosa area: up to 2”
Temps… Tuesday night lows will be in the high single digits to high teens. Wednesday and Thursday highs will be in the mid-30s to low 40s and lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s. Friday and Saturday highs will be in the high 30s to mid-40s and lows will be near 20 to near 30. Sunday highs will be in the mid-40s to low 50s and lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s.
Winds… Tuesday after sunset winds will gradually drop below 10mph. For the rest of this period, each afternoon winds will gust 15-20mph.
A couple of notes about this system… Most of this precip is expected between Friday afternoon and Saturday evening and then there will be hit and miss showers, mostly over the mountains, into Sunday afternoon. Upper-level flow could turn more southeasterly which would result in lower precip totals for us. South Fork could do well.
*** Travel along the I-25 corridor could be rough Friday night into Saturday afternoon. ***
The next week… It looks like we will dry out and warm up. By the middle of next week, highs will be in the 60s with lots of bright blue sunny skies.
Arleen sent the monthly newsletter earlier today. The next forecast post will be tomorrow. I plan to get the monthly weather summary done on Thursday. I’m waiting for the updated drought maps.
– Shawn
