Love these crisp, clear mornings! – pic taken 3/9/2025
Monday – 10 Mar 2025 – 12:30pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temperature on Saturday was 37 and on Sunday it was 50. The low this morning was 21.
The peak wind at Stevens Field Saturday afternoon was 13mph and Sunday afternoon it was 8mph.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 48 | 69 / 1989 | 14 | -2 / 1958 |
Precipitation summary… There has been no recent measurable precip.
Forecast discussion…
There is nothing on radar in our area Monday afternoon.
Forecast highlights…
*** Lots of sun, warmer, and dry through Wednesday. ***
*** Another round of snow Thursday evening into Friday morning. ***
*** Next storm Monday night into Wednesday afternoon. ***
Monday afternoon into Thursday morning… A ridge will give us dry weather and a warming trend.
There will be more clouds Tuesday and Wednesday as the ridge moves to our east and a weakening low moves through southern NM.
Temps… Monday highs will be near 50 to the high 50s and lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s. Tuesday highs will be in the high 40s to mid-50s. Wednesday highs will be in the mid-40s to low 50s and lows will be in the low 20s to near 30.
Winds… Monday afternoon gusts will be around 15mph. Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons gusts will be 15-20mph.
Thursday afternoon through Friday afternoon… A low-pressure system will move through.
Timing… Thursday afternoon showers will gradually increase. The best chance for snow is late Thursday evening into Friday morning, and then showers will be spotty through Friday afternoon.
The snow level will pop up to 7,800ft during the day Thursday and then gradually drop below 7,000ft by 11pm.
Snow amounts Thursday afternoon through Friday afternoon – most if it will fall Thursday night…
Wolf Creek area: 8-12”
Pagosa area below 7,600ft: 1-3”
Pagosa area above 7,600ft: 2-4”
Temps… Thursday highs will be in the low to mid-40s and lows will be in the high teens to mid-20s. Friday highs will be in the mid to high 30s and lows will be in the mid-single digits to mid-teens.
Winds… Thursday afternoon gusts in the Pagosa area will be 25-30mph and in the mountains gusts to 45mph are possible. Friday gusts in the Pagosa area will be 30-35mph and in the mountains gusts to 50mph are likely.
Friday night through Monday afternoon… Saturday afternoon a weak trough will move through in northwest flow. Our mountains could get a snowshower or two that drop an inch or two of snow.
Sunday a fast-moving ridge will give us lots of sun and warmer temps.
Monday the ridge will move to our east and clouds will increase.
Temps… Friday night lows will be in the mid-single digits to mid-teens. Saturday highs will be in the mid-30s to low 40s and lows will be near 10 to the high teens. Sunday highs will be in the mid-40s to low 50s and lows will be mid-teens to mid-20s. Monday highs will be in the high 40s to mid-50s.
Winds… Saturday afternoon gusts will be 20-30mph. Sunday afternoon gusts will be around 20mph. Monday afternoon gusts near Pagosa will be 25-35mph and the mountains could see gusts to 50mph.
Monday night into Wednesday afternoon… The next storm will move through. It won’t have as much storm energy and moisture so precip amounts will be lower.
This storm is still over week out, so I’ll hold off on the details.
The next post will be on Wednesday.
– Shawn
