Happy pup in the snow! – pic taken 2/14/2025
Friday – 14 Feb 2025 – 3:30pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temperature on Thursday was 37. The low this morning was 27. Temps were mostly in the mid-20s while it snowed overnight.
The peak wind at Stevens Field Thursday afternoon was 9mph.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 42 | 59 / 1981 | 8 | -22 / 1948 |
Precipitation summary… Wolf Creek only reported 6” this morning!? Nearby snotel data indicated double that. Winds were gusty so there is a considerable variance.
As of 3pm Friday we’re at 11.8” total just north of Turkey Springs.
Thanks a bunch for your reports and pictures!

Forecast discussion…


Forecast highlights…
*** The main part of the storm is done. Hit and miss snowshowers with light accumulations through Saturday afternoon. ***
*** There is a WINTER STORM WARNING for the southwest San Juan Mountains valid until 6pm Saturday. *** This does not include Pagosa Springs.
*** There is an AVALANCHE WARNING for the San Juan Mountains valid until 5pm Saturday. ***
*** A weak storm will move through Monday night into Tuesday with low snow amounts. ***

Friday afternoon through Saturday afternoon… The main storm system has moved through but it will stay unsettled.
Friday afternoon through Saturday morning snowshowers will be more hit and miss. A final band of scattered snowshowers is possible Saturday afternoon but additional accumulation will be minimal.
Additional snow amounts from 3pm Friday to 6pm Saturday…
Pagosa area: a dusting to 2”. It will be spotty.
Wolf Creek area: 3-6”
Temps… Friday night lows will be in the low teens to low 20s. Saturday highs will be in the low to high 30s and lows will be near zero to the low teens.
Winds… Friday afternoon gusts will be around 25mph. Saturday afternoons gusts will be 15-20mph.

Sunday through Monday evening… Dry with temps near average.
Temps… Highs will be in the high 30s to mid-40s and lows will be 10-20.
Winds… Sunday afternoon gusts will be 10-15mph. Monday afternoon gusts will be 15-20mph.
Monday night into Tuesday evening… The next low-pressure system will move through. It looks like a wimpy storm with low snow amounts.
Snow amounts…
Mountains: 1-3”
Pagosa area: up to a half inch
Temps… Lows Monday night will be 10-20. Highs Tuesday will be in the mid-30s to low 40s and lows Tuesday night will be in the mid-single digits to mid-teens.
Winds… Tuesday afternoon gusts will be around 15mph.

Tuesday night through Thursday morning… A transient ridge will push patches of mid and high clouds through the area, but it will be dry.
Temps… Lows Tuesday night will be in the mid-single digits to mid-teens. Wednesday highs will be in the mid-30s to mid-40s and lows will be near 10 to near 20.
Winds… Gusts Wednesday afternoon will be 15-20mph.
I’ll do another post tomorrow.
– Shawn
3 Responses
Shawn; Are you getting any data on the moisture content of this storm? Snow is nice, but water is better. Thanks!
Had to be that snow dance last night! Thanks again to you and Arleen for a great presentation last night
Yes, thank you for coming out, Paula & Andy, and helping with the great snow dance last night!