Finally looks like winter!…

Happy pup in the snow! – pic taken 2/14/2025

Happy pup in the snow! – pic taken 2/14/2025

Friday – 14 Feb 2025 – 3:30pm

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temperature on Thursday was 37.  The low this morning was 27. Temps were mostly in the mid-20s while it snowed overnight.

The peak wind at Stevens Field Thursday afternoon was 9mph.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
4259 / 19818-22 / 1948

Precipitation summary… Wolf Creek only reported 6” this morning!? Nearby snotel data indicated double that. Winds were gusty so there is a considerable variance.

As of 3pm Friday we’re at 11.8” total just north of Turkey Springs.

Thanks a bunch for your reports and pictures!

14 Feb 2025 pm CoCoRaHS 24hr snow totals
CoCoRaHS snow totals Friday morning range from 5.3” to 7.5”. It continued to snow pretty hard until around noon so storm totals will go up.  Stay tuned for tomorrow’s reports.

Forecast discussion…

Water vapor satellite Friday afternoon – The first trough has moved through.  The second trough will move through late Saturday afternoon. There are scattered bands for snowshowers across the Four Corners region.
Water vapor satellite Friday afternoon – The first trough has moved through.  The second trough will move through late Saturday afternoon. There are scattered bands of snowshowers across the Four Corners region.
Radar at 3:06pm Friday – Individual showers are moving towards the northeast while the entire pattern is shifting east. Hit and miss showers will decrease overnight and then increase a bit tomorrow afternoon as the trough moves through.
Radar at 3:06pm Friday – Individual showers are moving towards the northeast while the entire pattern is shifting east. Hit and miss showers will decrease overnight and then increase a bit tomorrow afternoon as the trough moves through.

Forecast highlights…

*** The main part of the storm is done. Hit and miss snowshowers with light accumulations through Saturday afternoon. ***

*** There is a WINTER STORM WARNING for the southwest San Juan Mountains valid until 6pm Saturday. *** This does not include Pagosa Springs.

*** There is an AVALANCHE WARNING for the San Juan Mountains valid until 5pm Saturday. ***

*** A weak storm will move through Monday night into Tuesday with low snow amounts. ***

Thanks to The Springs Resort for sponsoring the Valentine's Day snow storm!
Thanks to The Springs Resort for sponsoring the Valentine’s Day snow storm!

Friday afternoon through Saturday afternoon… The main storm system has moved through but it will stay unsettled.

Friday afternoon through Saturday morning snowshowers will be more hit and miss. A final band of scattered snowshowers is possible Saturday afternoon but additional accumulation will be minimal.

Additional snow amounts from 3pm Friday to 6pm Saturday…

Pagosa area: a dusting to 2”. It will be spotty.

Wolf Creek area: 3-6”

Temps… Friday night lows will be in the low teens to low 20s. Saturday highs will be in the low to high 30s and lows will be near zero to the low teens.

Winds… Friday afternoon gusts will be around 25mph. Saturday afternoons gusts will be 15-20mph.

WPC snow to 5pm Saturday shows 0.8” near Pagosa and 2-5” near Wolf Creek.
WPC snow to 5pm Saturday shows 0.8” near Pagosa and 2-5” near Wolf Creek.

Sunday through Monday evening… Dry with temps near average.

Temps… Highs will be in the high 30s to mid-40s and lows will be 10-20.

Winds… Sunday afternoon gusts will be 10-15mph. Monday afternoon gusts will be 15-20mph.

Monday night into Tuesday evening… The next low-pressure system will move through.  It looks like a wimpy storm with low snow amounts.

Snow amounts…

Mountains: 1-3”

Pagosa area: up to a half inch

Temps… Lows Monday night will be 10-20. Highs Tuesday will be in the mid-30s to low 40s and lows Tuesday night will be in the mid-single digits to mid-teens.

Winds… Tuesday afternoon gusts will be around 15mph.

WPC precip for this period shows 0.03” near Pagosa and 0.25” near Wolf Creek. This would be a half inch of snow near Pagosa and 2-3” near Wolf Creek.  Things aren’t lining up so I expect low snow totals from this storm.
WPC precip for this period shows 0.03” near Pagosa and 0.25” near Wolf Creek. This would be a half inch of snow near Pagosa and 2-3” near Wolf Creek.  Things aren’t lining up so I expect low snow totals from this storm.

Tuesday night through Thursday morning… A transient ridge will push patches of mid and high clouds through the area, but it will be dry.

Temps… Lows Tuesday night will be in the mid-single digits to mid-teens. Wednesday highs will be in the mid-30s to mid-40s and lows will be near 10 to near 20.

Winds… Gusts Wednesday afternoon will be 15-20mph.

I’ll do another post tomorrow.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

3 Responses

  1. Shawn; Are you getting any data on the moisture content of this storm? Snow is nice, but water is better. Thanks!

  2. Had to be that snow dance last night! Thanks again to you and Arleen for a great presentation last night

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