A couple of ravens with a great view of Pagosa Peak – Pic taken by Arleen on 1/14/2025
Wednesday – 15 Jan 2025 – 6:45pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temperature on Tuesday was 32 and on Wednesday it was 41. The low this morning was 0. The cold spots got down to around -5.
The peak wind at Stevens Field Tuesday afternoon was 16mph and on Wednesday it was 6mph.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 39 | 55 / 1973 | 4 | -23 / 1963 |
Precipitation summary… There was no measurable precip in the last 24 hours.
Forecast discussion…
There is nothing on radar in our area.
Forecast highlights…
*** Lots of sun and dry through Friday. ***
*** Chance for snow decreasing this weekend. ***
*** Temps 10-15 degrees below average Saturday through Tuesday. ***
Wednesday night through Friday… A low will spin off the coast while a ridge persists over us.
Thursday we’ll see lots of sun and the warmest day of the week.
Friday night clouds will increase as the ridge weakens.
Temps…
Wednesday night lows will be near zero to the mid-teens.
Thursday highs will be in the low to high 40s and lows will be in the mid-single digits to mid-teens.
Friday highs will be in the mid-30s to low 40s and lows will be in the mid-single digits to mid-teens.
Winds… Wednesday and Thursday afternoon peaks will be 5-10mph. Friday afternoon winds will peak around 15mph.
Saturday through Monday… The track of the low is shifting a little farther east so our chance for snow is decreasing. Snow will favor the Front Range and eastern Colorado.
Snow in our area will be spotty and light. The best chance for snow is each afternoon.
Snow amounts…
Pagosa area: a dusting to 1”
Wolf Creek area: 2-4”
Temps…
Saturday highs will be in the high 20s to mid-30s and lows will be in the mid-single digits to mid-teens.
Sunday highs will be in the mid-20s to low 30s and lows will be near zero to low teens. If clouds clear out Sunday night, temps will be 10 degrees colder.
Monday highs will be in the mid-20s to low 30s and lows will be -15 to 0.
Winds… Saturday afternoon gusts will be 20-25mph. Sunday and Monday afternoon gusts will be 15-20mph.
*** Wolf Creek… high temps on Saturday will be around 10 and winds will gust around 30mph with wind chills in the -10 to -15 range. Sunday high temps will be near 5 with gusts to 25mph with wind chills around -15. Monday highs will be in the mid-single digits with winds gusting 20-25mph with wind chills in the -10 to -15 range. ***
Tuesday and Wednesday will be dry with temps 10 degrees below average.
The 8-15 day period… My crystal ball is hinting that the west coast ridge will break down the last few days of the month. It looks promising but I’m not going to get my hopes up yet.
In the upper left the Euro ensemble shows 0.92”.
In the upper right the Euro AI shows 1.59”.
In the bottom left the GFS ensemble shows 0.38”.
In the bottom right the Canadian ensemble shows 0.90”.
The forecast models are over the place so I don’t trust them.
My next post will be on Friday.
– Shawn
