Blocking high equals great fall weather…

One of the brightest rainbows I’ve ever seen! – pic taken 9/22/2024

One of the brightest rainbows I’ve ever seen! – pic taken 9/22/2024

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Wednesday – 25 Sep 2024 – 11:15am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temperature Monday was 70 and on Tuesday it was 74. The low this morning was 42. The cold spots dipped into the mid-30s.

The peak wind at Stevens Field on Monday was 9mph and on Tuesday it was 8mph.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
7080 / 19893321 / 1945

Precipitation summary… There has been no recent measurable precip.

Forecast discussion…

Satellite on Wednesday morning – The blocking high is nearly over our heads. Conditions are dry and stable.
Satellite on Wednesday morning – The blocking high is nearly over our heads. Conditions are dry and stable.

There is nothing on radar in our area Wednesday morning.

Forecast highlights…

*** Cold spots will flirt with freezing each night. ***

*** Lots of sun and pleasant fall temps for a while. ***

Wednesday through Tuesday… A blocking high pressure has set up over the southwest US.  For most of this period we’ll have lots of sun and temps 5-10 degrees above average.

Friday a weak trough will try to move through.  There will be a few more clouds and there’s a slight chance for an afternoon shower over the mountains.

Winds… Afternoon peaks will be 10-15mph.

Temps… Highs will be in the mid-70s to the low 80s and lows will be in the mid-30s to mid-40s.

WPC precip shows less than 0.10” along the mountains on Friday.
WPC precip shows less than 0.10” along the mountains on Friday.

The 8-14 day period… The blocking high will keep us mostly dry, with lots of sun, and temps slightly above average.

Euro ensemble precip to 9 Oct at 6pm on the left expects 0.09” and GFS ensemble precip on the right expects 0.22”. I think it’s going to be pretty dry for the next two weeks.
Euro ensemble precip to 9 Oct at 6pm on the left expects 0.09” and GFS ensemble precip on the right expects 0.22”. I think it’s going to be pretty dry for the next two weeks.

The next forecast post will be on Friday.

– Shawn

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I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

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