A few high clouds for tomorrow’s eclipse

Annular Eclipse

Annular eclipse photo courtesy of NASA.

Friday 10-13-2023. 9:15am update.

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 53 degrees and the low this morning was 25 degrees. We dropped to 15 degrees at our Little Siberian location about a mile north of Hatcher Lake, and I have seen other sensors in the teens in different parts of our area, including downtown. Winds gusted to 31mph yesterday and our humidity bottomed out at 19% yesterday afternoon.

Precipitation summary: There was no precipitation to summarize!

Pagosa Springs historical data for October 13th.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
6579/ 19552712/ 1997

Forecast discussion…

We are now under high pressure with a NW flow…which means near zero chances for any precipitation over the next 7 days. Look for a line of cirrus clouds to move through tomorrow morning, which could partially obscure the eclipse viewing depending on how fast they move through. Fortunately, you can normally see the sun through cirrus clouds.

Screenshot 2023 10 13 080308
We look high and dry over the next 7-days.

Special Annular Eclipse Forecast and discussion: An annular eclipse will be happening tomorrow morning and people in Pagosa Springs will be able to see a partial version of the eclipse at 10:35am. From NASA: “This event occurs when the Moon passes directly in front of the Sun, but appears too small to completely cover the Sun’s surface – resulting in what appears as a ring of fire in the sky. It’s also known as an annular solar eclipse. Everyone in the contiguous 48 states will have the opportunity to see at least a partial eclipse.”

There are still free eclipse viewing glasses available at the Ruby Sisson library.

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My favorite links for eclipse info:

Eclipse Path of Annular Solar Eclipse on October 14, 2023 (timeanddate.com)

2023 Annular Eclipse – NASA Science

Eclipse
The full annular eclipse path is west and south of Pagosa Springs.
Eclipse 2
Times for the eclipse and what we will see in Pagosa Springs.

Here are four models and their cloud forecast for tomorrow. Fortunately, any clouds that do drift by will be cirrus, which are normally thin enough to allow you to see the sun through them.

HRRR 1
The latest NBM model is predicting clear skies for the eclipse on Saturday.
GFS 1
The latest GFS model is predicting 9% cloud cover for the eclipse on Saturday.
Euro 1
The latest Euro model is predicting a clear day for the eclipse on Saturday.
NAM
The latest NAM model is predicting 32% cloud coverage for the eclipse on Saturday.

5-Day Forecast…

Today: Mostly sunny with highs in low to mid 50’s. Winds SW 5-10, with gusts to 15mph.

Saturday: Partly cloudy in the morning and mostly sunny in the afternoon with lows in the upper 20’s to low 30’s and highs in low to mid 60’s. Winds SW 5-10, with gusts to 15mph. Cold spots could see lows in the lower 20’s.

Sunday: Mostly sunny with lows in the upper 20’s to low 30’s and highs in the mid to upper 60’s. Winds SW 5-10, with gusts to 15mph. Cold spots could see lows in the mid 20’s.

Monday-Wednesday: Mostly sunny with lows in the 30’s and highs in the upper 60’s to low 70’s. Winds SW 5-10, with gusts to 20mph. Cold spots could see lows in the upper 20’s.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

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