Impressive cumulonimbus cloud near Canon City – Pic taken 5/12/2023
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Saturday – 13 May 2023 – 7:45am
*** Mark your calendar for Thursday, 18 May at 6:00pm. Arleen is doing a Pagosa Weather presentation at the library! ***
At Stevens Field the high temperature yesterday afternoon was 68, the low this morning was 39, and humidity bottomed out at 17% yesterday afternoon. Humidity will start climbing.
The peak wind at Stevens Field yesterday afternoon was 18mph. Our peak wind yesterday afternoon in O’Neal Park was 16mph.
*** The average last freeze is 31 May. Temps can still drop below freezing into the third week of June with average lows remaining in the mid-30s. ***
|Average High||Record High / Year||Average Low||Record Low / Year|
|67||83 / 1996||29||12 / 1967|
Precipitation summary… There was no measurable precip in the last 24 hours.
Radar this morning – There is nothing significant in our area.
*** Streams have come down a bit due to cooler temps. They’ll rise again this weekend as temps warm and precip ramps up. ***
*** A subtropical moisture plume will increase the chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms. ***
*** Rain could fall heavily for brief periods and be accompanied by small hail, gusty winds, and lightning. “Slow movers” are capable of dropping a bunch of rain over small areas and localized flooding is possible. ***
This weekend through next weekend… A funky Rex block pattern is setting up over the western US and subtropical moisture is getting pushed into the region from the south.
It will be similar to our summer pattern. Mornings will start nice, and then clouds will build late each morning. The first couple of showers and thunderstorms are possible over the mountains after 11am and then in the valley after 1pm. Convective activity is always spotty – not everyone will get hit every day. Rain could fall heavily for brief periods and be accompanied by small hail, gusty winds, and lightning. “Slow movers” are capable of dropping a bunch of rain over small areas and localized flooding is possible.
Mountain snow? It will be moist, warm subtropical air. The snow level will be mostly above 11,000ft but could briefly drop to 10,500ft with showers. Our mountains above timberline will get bursts of heavy snow, but it will be spotty.
Temps… Highs will be in the low 60s to low 70s and lows will be in the mid-30s to mid-40s.
Winds… Afternoon gusts will be mostly in the 10-20mph range, however isolated gusts 25-35mph are possible near showers and thunderstorms.
Mark will take over tomorrow.