Chance for rain all week long!

PM Popper

A PM Popper drops some rain on Pagosa Peak at 12:30pm this afternoon. This will be a daily occurrence this week…

Happy Mother’s Day! – 5-14-2023. 1:30pm

*** Mark your calendar for Thursday, 18 May at 6:00pm. Arleen and Mark are doing a Pagosa Weather presentation at the library! ***

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 65 and the low this morning was 44 degrees. Winds gusted to 21mph.

Precipitation summary: Most of us recorded rain overnight, with the rain lottery winners in Chromo!

Screenshot 2023 05 14 084359
24hr rainfall totals ranged from 0.10 to 0.52 inches.
Screenshot 2023 05 14 125133
Today’s San Juan River flow is at 1830cfs.

Pagosa Springs historical data

*** The average last freeze is 31 May.  Temps can still drop below freezing into the third week of June with average lows remaining in the mid-30s. ***

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
6784/ 19843015/ 1953

Forecast discussion…

As I was working on this post at 1pm, we started getting some pea size hail, followed by a brief, heavy shower about a mile north of Hatcher Lake! This will be possible from any of our afternoon storms this week.

Thanks to a low pressure in northern Nevada, a SE flow continues to bring in moisture from the Gulf of Mexico today. This added moisture in the mid-levels is allowing afternoon storms to erupt over the mountains and the valley. The low will eventually move out of the picture by tomorrow as it treks NW, but other rain triggers will take its place, giving us a chance for PM Poppers all week. Rain odds ramp up from Thursday-Saturday.

A reminder to hikers…afternoon storms can not only produce lightning and drop hail and brief heavy rain, but temperatures can drop quickly, producing the potential for hypothermia if you are not prepared with rain jackets, etc.

Screenshot 2023 05 14 122600
A low pressure over northern Nevada is bringing up moisture from the Gulf of Mexico, giving us a chance for PM Poppers today.
Screenshot 2023 05 14 122940
The latest 3-day rainfall forecast from the NWS predicts almost a third of an inch of rain for our area.
Screenshot 2023 05 14 124036
The latest NBM model is predicting over an inch of rain for us over the next week.

5-Day Forecast…

The rest of the day: Partly cloudy with a chance for afternoon and evening thunderstorms. Highs in the mid to upper 60’s. SE winds 5-10 mph, with wind gusts over 25mph near thunderstorms. 0.05-0.20 rainfall.

Monday-Weds: Partly cloudy with a chance for afternoon and evening thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s and highs in mid to upper 60’s. SW winds 5-10mph with wind gusts over 25mph near thunderstorms.

Thursday-Friday: Partly cloudy with a good chance for afternoon and evening thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s and highs in mid to upper 60’s. SW winds 5-10mph with wind gusts over 25mph near thunderstorms.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

-Mark Langford

Pagosa Weather Blizzard Level Sponsor

Pagosa Weather Storm Sponsor

Get Pagosa Weather Updates

Enter your email address to receive notifications of new posts by email.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Pagosa Weather Disclaimer and Release of Liability

This website makes no guarantees about nor bears any responsibility or liability concerning the accuracy or timeliness of the weather information published on this website. All weather information published on this website is for educational and weather enthusiast purposes only. We do not issue Storm Watches, Warnings or Advisories as that ability falls with the National Weather Service, who is the only institution allowed to issue such warnings by law. We are not in any way linked nor affiliated with the National Weather Service, although we do share information and relay weather watches/ warnings, etc. Use of the information on page is at your own risk/discretion, and we are not responsible for any personal/property damages, injury or death associated with weather forecasts, reports or other information as well as communication exchanged in private messages and/or person.

Terms of Use                  Privacy Policy

 

© 2024 Pagosa Weathe

Website Design by : Brandon