We got to hang out with future scientists at Pagosa Peak Open School! – Pic taken 2/1/2023
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Thursday – 2 Feb 2023 – 4:30pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temp this afternoon was 39. The low this morning was 4. The peak wind at the airfield was 4mph.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 40 | 53 / 1935 | 3 | -37 / 1951 |
Precipitation summary… There has been no measurable precip in the last 24 hours.
Forecast discussion…
There is nothing on radar in our area this afternoon.
Today through Sunday… Ridging will take over and give us lots of sun and dry weather. We’ll see a gradual warming trend with temps near average.
Highs will range from the high 30s to mid-40s and lows will range from 0 to 20.
Winds Friday and Saturday afternoons will peak around 10mph out of the southwest. Winds Sunday afternoon will peak around 15mph out of the southwest.
Sunday night through Monday… The next low pressure system will move through. It will track west to east – a decent track for us. However, it will be weaking and won’t have much moisture. My expectations for snow are low.
Highs on Monday will be in the low to high 30s and lows will be high single digits to high teens.
Winds Sunday night to Monday afternoon will gust into the 15-20mph range out of the southwest.
My snow forecast…
Valley: 0-2”
Mountains: 3-6”
Middle of next week… I’m struggling to figure this period out. Some forecast models indicate a “one and done” pattern while others indicate multiple weak systems moving through.
Long range outlook… The long range models expect the pattern to get more active starting around the 12th/13th.
My next post will be on Saturday.
– Shawn
