Let it snow! – Pic taken 1/15/2023
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Sunday – 15 Jan 2023 – 10:30am
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temp yesterday afternoon was 45. The low this morning was 31. The peak wind at the airfield was 16mph.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 39 | 55 / 1973 | 5 | -23 / 1963 |
Storm summary… Snow started coming down pretty good in the valley around 1am and fell steadily the rest of the night. As of 9am, it’s still snowing hard. Wolf Creek reported 6” at 6am this morning. Facebook reports this morning were mostly in the 5-8” range.
Two Feet of Snow contest – We hit 2 feet of snow on the ground at 9am. Congratulations Lisa Doerr! She had the closest guess with 15 Jan at 4pm. She won a $50 certificate to Terry’s Colorado Home Supply!
Thanks a bunch for your reports!
Forecast discussion…
Rest of today… System #1 is cooperating with my forecast!
Moderate to heavy steady snow will turn more showery by noon. Scattered snowshowers will linger into Sunday evening, especially over the mountains and the eastern part of the county. Winds will pick up this afternoon and start blowing the snow around.
*** Into this afternoon, snow will fall heavily at times, gusty winds will create blowing snow, visibility will be poor, and driving conditions will be treacherous. ***
*** The Grand Junction NWS has issued a WINTER STORM WARNING for the San Juan and Animas River basins – this includes Pagosa Springs and Durango. Expect a storm total of 6-12” of snow and winds up to 35mph valid until 5pm Sunday. ***
*** The Pueblo NWS has issued a WINTER STORM WARNING for the eastern San Juan Mountains for a total of up to 3 feet with the highest amounts near Wolf Creek Pass valid until 11pm Sunday. Winds to 45mph are also likely. ***
Additional snow from 9am to midnight…
Valley: 2-6”
Mountains: 10-18”
Sunday night through Monday morning… We’ll have a lull between storms. Scattered snowshowers will still be possible, mostly over the mountains.
My Snow amounts…
Valley: Up to an inch for the lucky spots, especially the eastern part of the county
Mountains: 1-3”
Monday afternoon to Tuesday evening… The second system will move through and it’s looking pretty similar to the first one. There’s a chance the bullseye misses us a little to the south, but right now it looks good!
Snowshowers will gradually increase during Monday afternoon, especially over the mountains. The best chance for snow is Monday evening to Tuesday afternoon. Scattered snowshowers will linger into Tuesday night, especially over the mountains and the eastern part of the county.
My Snow amounts…
Valley: 6-12”
Mountains: 12-20”
Thursday night and Friday… The next system will track northwest to southeast which usually favors northern Colorado, while we just get scraps. There is still a lot of uncertainty. Some forecast models expect the low to track nearly over our heads – not good for us to get snow – while other models keep the low in eastern UT – better for us to get snow. Right now this system has a wide variance of outcomes, but here’s what I expect at this time…
My snow amounts…
Valley: 2-4”
Mountains: 4-8”
My forecast…
* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. *
I will probably do a quick Facebook update this evening, otherwise Mark takes over tomorrow.
– Shawn
2 Responses
We moved here to Pagosa from Oregon this last June so our first winter here. Love yr weather reports.
Thank you Barbara! Enjoy!