Pagosa Peak emerging from the clouds this morning – Pic taken 1/11/2023
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Wednesday – 11 Jan 2023 – 4:30pm
At Stevens Field the high temp this afternoon was 38. The low this morning was 27. The peak wind at the airfield was 30mph and we hit 31mph just north of Turkey Springs.
|Average High||Record High / Year||Average Low||Record Low / Year|
|37||59 / 1956||2||-22 / 1962|
Storm summary… The timing of the storm lined up pretty good with my forecast. My wind forecast was also good. My snow amounts ended up being ok in the valley and too high for the mountains. Starting about 5 days ago for the valley, I forecast 1-3”, then 2-4”, then 2-5”, then back to 1-3”. For the mountains I forecast: 4-6”, 6-10”, 8-12”, 8-12”. The forecast models were all over the place and I was chasing them. This storm fell apart quickly as it moved through the Four Corners region. My initial forecast 5 days ago was the best.
Wolf Creek ended up with 5” for the storm. Reports around 8am in the valley were mostly in the 0.5” to 2” range. By 8am accumulating snow was done for most of the county, but the eastern part of the county added a little more and are likely the snow lottery winners.
Tonight through Saturday afternoon… We’ll see the next round of ridging, dry weather, and above average temps. Temps could be 10 degrees above average on Friday.
Saturday night to Sunday night… The next system will move through, and things are lining up for decent snow.
Monday through Thursday… The long range models expect the weather pattern to stay active. It’s too early to trust the details, but I like it so far!
My next post will likely be Friday afternoon.