It’s time to wash your cars and do your snow dances! – Pics taken 12/10/2022
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Sunday – 11 Dec 2022 – 9:15am
The past…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday afternoon was 45. The low this morning was 18. The upper Piedra was the cold spot at 1 degree. The peak wind at the airfield was 6mph.
Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
40 | 60 / 1906 | 7 | -18 / 1909 |
Precip summary… There has been no recent precip.
Forecast discussion…


The rest of today… We’ll be mostly sunny during the day and then clouds will increase overnight.
Tomorrow… A fairly strong system will move through. The first few spotty snowshowers will start in the mountains during the early morning hours and after sunrise in the valley. The best chance for snow is 9am to 6pm. Scattered snowshowers will linger through the night, especially over the mountains.
*** There will be periods of snow, blowing snow, poor visibility, and bad driving conditions. ***
*** The Grand Junction NWS has issued a WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY for elevations above 6,500ft in the San Juan River basin for 2-5” of snow and winds gusting to 45mph valid on Monday from 5am to 5pm. This includes Pagosa Springs. ***
*** The Grand Junction NWS has issued a WINTER WEATHER WARNING for the southwest San Juan Mountains for 6-12” of snow and locally higher amounts, and winds gusting to 45mph valid on Monday from 5am to 11pm. ***
My snow forecast:
Valley: 2-5”
Mountains: 8-12”



Tuesday through Friday… Hit and miss snowshowers are possible through Tuesday, especially over the mountains. Up to an inch of snow is possible in the mountains and parts of the valley could get a dusting. Then ridging will build over the region and we’ll see a gradual clearing trend. Patchy fog is possible in low-lying areas Tuesday and Wednesday mornings.
Temps Tuesday and Wednesday will be 10-15 degrees below average – brrrr. Thursday and Friday will be a little warmer, but temps will still be 5-10 degrees below average.
Saturday and beyond… The forecast models are fluctuating considerably. Right now it’s a coin toss between the pattern staying active or going dry.
My forecast…

* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. *
My next post will be tomorrow.
– Shawn