Let’s try this again!

Full moon

It’s been a great week for observing and photographing the moon. © 2022 Mark Langford

Saturday – 10 Dec. 2022 – 9:30am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 37 and the low this morning was 13 degrees. Humidity yesterday afternoon bottomed out at 34%. Winds at the airfield hit 5 mph yesterday.

Precipitation summary…There was no precipitation to summarize although I am happy to report that Wolf Creek Summit’s snowpack is back to average from all of the great snow it received this week.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
4061/ 19817-26 / 1951
310448169 464334978857509 8427265086087382920 n
The Springs Resort is sponsoring this upcoming storm…let’s hope for better results this week!

Forecast discussion…

A big digger trough is moving into the west coast and will be our next snowmaker from Sunday evening through Tuesday. Unlike last week, when we had to deal with bouncing snow levels, this week’s storm will be an “all snow” event. As the low and trough begin moving east tomorrow, our flow will transition into the SW and snow will start falling late Sunday night and early Monday morning. We will be in the snow window through Tuesday morning as the trough moves past us.

The rest of today… Sunny with highs in the low to mid 40’s

Sunday: Pretty much a repeat of today.

My snow forecast from Sunday night through Tuesday morning…

Valley: 2-5”

Mountains: 8-12”

Screenshot 2022 12 10 085257
A deep trough will dig into the Pacific coast over the next couple of days, then move east on Monday, ushering in plenty of moisture from the SW, and giving us a good chance for snow.
Screenshot 2022 12 10 083343
The latest NWS snow forecast through Tuesday morning.
316728682 1221171151828949 2464853124932312591 n
The latest NWS-Denver/Boulder Office snow forecast through Wednesday morning.
EURO 2
The latest EURO model is predicting 4.7 inches of snow for Pagosa Springs and 5 inches for Chama, NM through Tuesday.
NBM 5
The latest NBM model is predicting 4 inches of snow for Pagosa Springs and 4.3 inches for Chama, NM. through Tuesday morning.
500wh.conus
By Monday morning, a deep trough to our SW will be ushering in plenty of moisture from the SW, giving us a good chance for snow.

My forecast…

Pagosa 5 day forecast 12 10
* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

-Mark Langford

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