The current drought map looks pretty good for Archuleta County
Monday – 31 Oct 2022 – 8:30pm
October 2022 Summary…
The average low for October is 26 and the average high is 63. The record high of 85 occurred on 14 October 1940. The record low of -5 occurred on 21 October 1910. Precip averages 2.27″ in October with 4″ of snow. Wolf Creek Pass averages 4.39″ of rain and 26.7″ of snow.
How did we do?
Wolf Creek Ski Area reported a total of 14″ in Oct, below the average of 26.7″. They will open a few runs starting on 4 Nov.
Drought and River Flow…
November 2022 Outlook…
The average low for November is 16 and the average high is 49. The record high of 75 occurred on 2 November 1945. The record low of -18 occurred on 17 November 1907. Precip averages 1.62″ in November with 11.6″ of snow. Wolf Creek Pass averages 4.13″ of liquid equivalent and 54.5″ of snow.
And what do we expect?
Arleen is the expert and this is what she thinks…
During the first third of November, the MJO will influence our weather with enhanced storm systems. However, it fades after that and the La Nina impacts us. The polar front jet and associated storm systems will stay to our north. We need systems to overproduce the first third of the month, because we’ll just get scraps the last two thirds of the month as systems favor northern Colorado. I am not as optimistic as the forecast models, but it just takes a couple of good systems to get us to average!
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