Wolf Creek Pass is getting periods of snow and poor visibility this morning. – CDOT web cam 10/27/2022 at 9:20am
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Thursday – 27 Oct 2022 – 10:30am
The past…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 52 and the low this morning was 31. Winds at the airfield hit 21mph yesterday.
Precip summary… A couple of CoCoRaHS observers reported a trace of precip this morning. A few folks have sent me pictures of falling snow while I worked on this post.
Forecast discussion…
Today… The main system will move nearly north to south along the CO/UT border. On and off scattered snowshowers will fall until early evening. Some areas will experience brief periods of reduced visibility and heavier snow. Clouds will gradually clear tonight.
My snow forecast:
Below 7,500ft: Trace to 0.5”
Above 7,500ft: Trace to 2”
Mountains above 9,000ft: 3-6”
*** Keep an eye on travel conditions if you plan to travel across any mountain passes, especially Le Veta and Raton passes later today. ***
Friday through Tuesday ridging will take over and give us lots of sun, and we’ll see a gradual warming trend with temps near average by this weekend.
Next Wednesday night through Friday… I’m tracking another system. Outcomes range from a weak system will a little bit of snow to a decent system with a moderate amount of snow.
As usual with a system more than 5-7 days out, the forecast models are all over the place, so forecast confidence is minimal. Example: This morning’s Open Snow forecast for Wolf Creek has lopped off 10” from yesterday. That’s a big change from one forecast to the next.
In tomorrow’s post, I’ll include my initial snow forecast.


My forecast…

* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. *



This storm is still 7 days away and there is considerable variance between models so forecast confidence in timing and snow amounts is low.
Pagosa Springs historical data
Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
59 | 73 / 1910 | 22 | 8 / 1913 |
My next post will be tomorrow morning.
– Shawn