It’s great to see snow up at Wolf Creek – Wolf Creek summit web cam 10/24/2022
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Monday – 24 Oct 2022 – 10:30am
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 43 and the low last night was 27. Winds at the airfield hit 41mph yesterday.
The snow forecast was a dud. What happened?
First the storm energy split with some going to our north and some going to our south. Our section of the cold front was drying as the front moved through. While we cooled behind the front, there wasn’t as much moisture as we expected.
Precip summary… Most of the precip was done by noon yesterday but we did pretty good. The rain lottery winner was Kathy near the golf course. The SNOW lottery winner was Mike in Trujillo. Mike is the first person to report measurable snow this season!
Wolf Creek reported 6” of wet snow yesterday afternoon. Based on satellite and the Wolf Creek/Lobo Overlook sensor, they might have added another inch overnight.
Today a few spotty snowshowers are lingering over the mountains, but otherwise, clouds and showers will clear with high temps 15 degrees below average.
Tuesday will be nice with lots of sun, but high temps will be 10 degrees below average.
The next system will move through Wednesday night and Thursday. It won’t be as strong as yesterday’s system, but because cooler air will already be in place, snow is more likely to stick in the valley. See the charts below for a more thorough explanation.
My snow forecast:
Below 7,500ft: up to 0.5”
Above 7,500ft: 0.5” to 2”
Mountains above 9,000ft: 3-6”
** The best chance for snow is after midnight Wednesday to early Thursday afternoon. **
Pagosa Springs historical data
|Average High||Record High / Year||Average Low||Record Low / Year|
|60||76 / 1988||22||6 / 1955|
I’ll check everything thoroughly tomorrow morning, and if there aren’t any meaningful changes to my forecast, my next update will be Wednesday morning.