More of the same…

Sunset

While yesterday’s storm didn’t drop much moisture, the remains did produce a nice sunset. Photo by Mark Langford

Tuesday – 6 September 2022 – 2pm update.

The past…

The high on Monday at Stevens Field was 88 and the low this morning was 51. Some of you living in and around downtown saw highs in the 90’s yesterday. Our humidity bottomed out at 14% and the airport recorded a 21mph wind gust. Rainfall totals ranged from a high of 0.03 south of town to zero.

Screenshot 2022 09 06 125651
COCORAHS rainfall reports over the past 24 hours for the Pagosa Springs area ranged from zero to 0.03.

Forecast discussion…

The Hell High continues to reside over eastern Nevada and western Utah, giving a good portion of the west some late season sizzling temperatures this week. Our mid-level winds will continue to blow from the NE, wrapping clockwise around the eastern side of the high pressure until this weekend, when a cool front will move through on Saturday. As that occurs, our mid-level winds will switch into the west and may possibly bring in some moisture from what will be dying hurricane Kay. Meanwhile, look for a plethora of towering cumulus clouds each day, with a tiny chance some of those will turn into thunderstorms during the afternoon. With low humidity on the surface, I don’t see much rain accumulating from the storms this week. High temps will continue above average (80’s) through Friday, then drop around normal (70’s) over the weekend as cooler air arrives.

Unless something surprising happens this afternoon, my next post will be on Thursday.

latest.tair
Current temperatures are sizzling to our west…I’m so glad to be living where we are!
Screenshot 2022 09 06 131214
Drier air in the mid-levels (yellow) is continues to move into our area from the NE, wrapping around the Hell high to our west. Even though the air is relatively dry above us, we will still see a slight chance for afternoon storms every day. We are watching Hurricane Kay move up the west coast of Mexico this week. It’s possible that some of her moisture might impact our weather this weekend.
Screenshot 2022 09 06 131341
We could see some moisture from Hurricane Kay move into our area over the weekend.
Screenshot 2022 09 06 125611
The latest NWS 3-day rainfall forecast model is predicting zip, zero nada for PagosSprings and a whopping 0.01 for Chama.
Screenshot 2022 09 06 133031
The latest EURO model run thinks we could see around a quarter of an inch of rain by Monday.

My forecast…

Pagosa 5 day forecast 9 6 22
* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. * With showers and thunderstorms expect brief periods of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning.

Pagosa Springs historical data for Sept. 6th

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
7898/ 19553923/ 1910

Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

-Mark Langford

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2 Responses

  1. Arleen does the seasonal outlooks and I would imagine she will be doing one soon. With La Nina continuing, we usually lean towards the drier side of normal for Fall and Winter.

  2. Although it is probably on your website, I cannot find it. What is your projection for this fall and winter around Pagosa Springs?

    Many thanks.

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