Storms brewed over the mountains yesterday, but missed most of the valley… Pic taken 8/4/2022
Friday – 5 Aug 2022 – 8:45am
The past…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 80. The low this morning was 58. Humidity yesterday afternoon bottomed out at 32%. Winds at the airfield hit 21mph yesterday.
Precip summary… Some of us got a little rain on Wednesday but yesterday was a dud for most of us.


Forecast discussion…
The upper level high continues to wobble around the Four Corners area. The high is currently to our south-southeast, which is a good spot for us. It will continue to push monsoon moisture into our area from the southwest.
Cape, a measure of instability, and precipitable water are both down slightly today but are still marginal for afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Like yesterday, spotty showers and thunderstorms will still develop in the afternoon, especially near the mountains.
Starting tomorrow and through Monday, Cape and precipitable water will increase, so we’ll see more afternoon shower and thunderstorm activity. A few showers could last into the evenings, especially Sunday and Monday nights.
Monsoon storms are hit and miss and can produce quick bursts of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lighting.

At 8:00am there was nothing significant on radar in our region.
My forecast…

* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. * With showers and thunderstorms expect brief periods of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning.


Pagosa Springs historical data
Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
82 | 97 / 1940 | 46 | 29 / 1956 |
Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.
My next forecast post will be either late tomorrow afternoon or on Sunday.
– Shawn