Fog in the valley of O’Neal Park this morning… Pic taken 8/1/2022
Monday – 1 Aug 2022 – 9:30am
The past…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 74. The low this morning was 53. Humidity yesterday afternoon bottomed out at 49%. Winds at the airfield hit 13mph yesterday.
Precip summary… Most of us just got a few raindrops but there was definitely a rain lottery winner.

Forecast discussion…
The upper level high continues to wobble around the Four Corners area. The monsoon moisture plume will weaken over the next few days.
Today will still be active. Cape, a measure of instability, and precipitable water are still pretty high.
Tuesday and Wednesday, the upper level high will shift to our southwest into north-central AZ and reduce our monsoon moisture feed. Both Cape and precipitable water will decrease which will result in fewer afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Later in the week the monsoon plume will shift our direction again, so we’ll see an increase of afternoon shower and thunderstorm activity.
Storms will continue to be hit and miss and can produce quick bursts of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lighting.

At 9am there was nothing on radar in our region.
My forecast…

* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. * With showers and thunderstorms expect brief periods of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning.


Pagosa Springs historical data
Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
82 | 90 / 1993 | 47 | 37 / 1958 |
Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.
My next post will be Wednesday morning. I will also do the July summary and August outlook later today.
– Shawn