A few showers are dropping some rain over Pagosa Peak this morning at 10am.
Wednesday – 27 Jul 2022 – 10:30am update.
The past…
The high on Monday at Stevens Field was 77 and the low this morning was 57. The lowest humidity reading yesterday was 33 percent and the highest wind gust was 23 mph. Very little rain was reported in our area yesterday.
Forecast discussion…
As I feared yesterday, the cloudy cool morning put a damper on our rain yesterday for most of our area, with most of the rain falling to our south, in Chama and Dulce, NM. We are starting out this day very similar to yesterday, with clouds and even some showers this morning so it will be interesting to see what happens this afternoon. As noted above, the NWS has issued a Flood Watch for us through midnight tonight. Looking at the latest model runs, the best odds for heavier rain for us appear to be on Thursday, so will the NWS extend the Flood Watch tomorrow? As we have seen over the past few days, storms tend to pop up, move slowly, then dissipate. If you are lucky to be under one as if forms, you get a lot of rain in a short period of time. Unfortunately, if you see one nearby, it often goes “poof” before moving over your backyard.
Radar will go from bad to worse today, with the Grand Junction radar down for maintenance until August 2nd. Our only coverage until then will be from Albuquerque, NM.
We continue to be sandwiched between a ridge to our north and a one over Texas. Moisture in the mid-levels and surface is flowing into our area, increasing our precipitable water values to over an inch (monsoon conditions). Latest model runs forecast our monsoon flow to continue at least through the weekend and into next week.
For all of you visiting our beautiful area, please be careful when you go out on hikes, especially in the afternoons. Totally clear mornings can quickly turn into stormy afternoons with 20-30 degree drop in temps, heavy rain, hail, lightning and gusty winds over 40mph! Make sure you pack rain gear because being wet when temps drop to the 50’s can be more than uncomfortable…it can be dangerous.
My forecast…
Pagosa Springs historical data for July 27th
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 82 | 90/ 1966 | 46 | 34 / 1995 |
Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.
Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.
-Mark Langford
2 Responses
Hey…I can understand not wanting July to end but it’s still confusing on your forcasted dates. For example July 27th is Wednesday.
Thanks for the wonderful work you all put in. It’s much appreciated!
Yikes! Thanks…will be fixing that immediately.