A good soaking today! …

There was dew on the grass and flowers and lots of clouds this morning.  Monsoon moisture is back!... Pic taken 6/22/2022

There was dew on the grass and flowers and lots of clouds this morning.  Monsoon moisture is back!… Pic taken 6/22/2022

Wednesday – 22 Jun 2022 – 9:00am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday afternoon was 78. The low this morning was 50. Humidity yesterday afternoon bottomed out at 14%. Winds at the airfield peaked at 16mph yesterday afternoon.

Precip summary… A few parts of the county got a couple of sprinkles and we heard two thunder booms around 8:30pm.  Yesterday’s showers were a dud for Archuleta County though.

*** Archuleta County has implemented STAGE 1 FIRE RESTRICTIONS and the San Juan National Forest has implemented STAGE 2 FIRE RESTRICTIONS. ***

Forecast discussion…

Another monsoon surge is nearly on top of us.  Showers will start in the southern part of the county between 9 and 10am and then move north through the rest of the county between 10 and 11am.  We’ll see steady rain for a few hours and then showers and thunderstorms will be more hit-and-miss later in the afternoon and through much of the night.

Thursday and Friday will be slightly drier, but scattered showers and thunderstorms will pop up in the afternoons.

Things will ramp up again Saturday afternoon through Monday afternoon with another good surge of monsoon moisture.

Satellite this morning: The monsoon plume will push north into our area. We’ll catch the brunt of it this afternoon to tomorrow morning.
Satellite this morning: The monsoon plume will push north into our area. We’ll catch the brunt of it this afternoon to tomorrow morning.
Radar this morning: The large batch of rain is moving north towards us. I expect most of Archuleta County to get a good soaking!
Radar this morning: The large batch of rain is moving north towards us. I expect most of Archuleta County to get a good soaking!

My forecast…

* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. * With showers and thunderstorms expect brief periods of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning.
* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. * With showers and thunderstorms expect brief periods of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning.
NWS 72-hour precip shows 1.1” of rain in town and up to 1.75” in our mountains. Most of this will fall between this afternoon and tomorrow morning. Then precip will be more scattered tomorrow afternoon and Friday.
NWS 72-hour precip shows 1.1” of rain in town and up to 1.75” in our mountains. Most of this will fall between this afternoon and tomorrow morning. Then precip will be more scattered tomorrow afternoon and Friday.
NBM forecast precip through 3 Jul at 6am – This blend of multiple models indicates Pagosa Springs getting 2.78”. This 10-day model and the other 10-day models line up pretty good and clearly show where the monsoon moisture is expected.
NBM forecast precip through 3 Jul at 6am – This blend of multiple models indicates Pagosa Springs getting 2.78”. This 10-day model and the other 10-day models line up pretty good and clearly show where the monsoon moisture is expected.
NAM forecast radar through 10am tomorrow – The rain currently over northern NM is moving into southern Archuleta County now and should cover much of the county by 11am. It could rain steadily for a few hours and then gets more showery (spotty) this afternoon as thunderstorms develop into the evening.  Then spotty showers linger through the night, especially near the mountains.
NAM forecast radar through 10am tomorrow – The rain currently over northern NM is moving into southern Archuleta County now and should cover much of the county by 11am. It could rain steadily for a few hours and then gets more showery (spotty) this afternoon as thunderstorms develop into the evening.  Then spotty showers linger through the night, especially near the mountains.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
8193 / 19543723 / 1951

Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.

My next post will be tomorrow morning.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
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