What month is it?!… NWS expected snowfall for Colorado
Friday – 20 May 2022 – 9:50am
Plumtaw Fire update…
As of yesterday evening, Thursday, 19 May 2022, the Plumtaw Fire report was surprisingly encouraging!
Multiple agencies are involved and aggressively fighting the fire. For updates follow “USDA Forest Service – San Juan National Forest” and “Archuleta County, CO Sheriff’s Office” on Facebook and this link on InciWeb.
A HUGE thanks to the San Juan National Forest crew and everybody else that is aggressively tackling the fire!
Smoke and air quality this morning… The air quality sensor data is not available this morning. This morning we’re seeing mostly dust.
At Stevens Field the high yesterday afternoon was 76 and the low this morning was 49. Humidity yesterday afternoon bottomed out at 11%. Winds yesterday afternoon peaked at 41mph at 1:15pm. In O’Neal Park we hit 36mph.
Precip summary… None in the last 24 hours.
*** The Grand Junction National Weather Service has issued a RED FLAG WARNING valid 8am to 9pm today. Conditions will be favorable for easy ignition and rapid spread of fires. ***
*** There is an AIR QUALITY HEALTH ADVISORY valid until 9am tomorrow.
IMPACTS…Although air quality has improved somewhat, areas of moderate to heavy smoke continue Friday morning for those areas in close vicinity to the Plumtaw wildfire, including parts of the Pagosa Springs area. Air quality will continue to improve by late Friday morning as atmospheric mixing increases and smoke lifts into the atmosphere. However, fire activity could increase again Friday afternoon potentially resulting in the redevelopment of heavy smoke late Friday evening through Saturday morning for areas near the fire and southeastward into Pagosa Springs. *** This will be the trend for a while.
*** Archuleta County and the San Juan National Forest have implemented STAGE 1 FIRE RESTRICTIONS. ***
As I type Friday morning, the system is already impacting northern Colorado and the northern Front Range.
Winds – Things are still on track to give us another round of strong winds. I’m happy to see that the NWS has bumped up forecast winds to 40mph and has issued a Red Flag Warning.
Precip – I’m still expecting scraps for us. The first few spotty showers will develop in our area this evening over the mountains and after midnight in the valley. The best chance for precip is after midnight tonight to tomorrow afternoon. Thankfully we’ll get a little precip, more clouds, and higher humidity which will help slow fire growth. I expect our mountains to get 1-3” of snow above 9,500ft.
Dust – Most of what we see this morning is dust. It’s fairly uniform and has no smoke odor. This dust will clear as winds pick up and then another round of dust will move in later today.
Travel – Northern Colorado and the Front Range are going to get impressive snow for this time of year. Travel will be impacted today and Saturday. Additionally heavy wet snow will likely break tree branches and some folks are likely to lose power.
Through Tuesday the jet stream will stay near northern Colorado and keep the pattern unsettled. The northern Colorado mountains and Front Range will continue to be favored for moisture and precip. We’ll get a few scraps, but it’s better than nothing! Though winds won’t be as strong, they’ll still be gusty because the jet stream will be nearby.
Pagosa Springs historical data
|Average High||Record High / Year||Average Low||Record Low / Year|
|69||80 / 1961||32||17 / 1913|
Mark your calendars…
Pagosa Weather is doing a presentation at the Ruby M. Sisson Memorial Library on Thursday, 26 May at 6pm. We’d love to meet you and answer questions!
Pagosa Weather is also setting up a “meet and greet” booth at the Ski & Bow Rack on Friday, 27 May from noon to 4pm. Come say hi!
Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.
My next forecast post will be tomorrow.