Warming but windy…


4-15-22 9:30am update…

The low today at Stevens Field has been 28 degrees and the high yesterday was 51 degrees. There has been no precipitation recorded in the past 24 hours. The highest wind gust was 28 mph yesterday.

A warming trend starts today after three days of below normal temperatures that felt a lot more like winter than spring. We will flirt with 60 today but by Saturday and Sunday, our highs will rise into the mid-60’s. Winds will continue to be out of the SW 15-25 mph each day with gusts over 30mph. As a trough to our north moves to the east on Saturday, winds will gust closer to 40mph. For those of you planning an Easter outing, look for lows in the upper 20’s and low 30’s and highs in the 60’s. Other than the wind, this upcoming week will be perfect for outdoor activities!

Unfortunately, any chance for precipitation will also stay north of us. As of this post, we may have to wait until the last week of April to see our next decent chance for rain-snow. Looking further down the line, the latest ENSO is favoring a La Niña pattern (59%) continuing through this summer. Let’s hope this changes because this could negatively impact our summer monsoon season.

Shawn will take over on Sunday with a post unless something meteorologically bizarre occurs!

Screenshot 2022 04 15 083449
Winds will continue for at least the next 5 days with Saturday being the windiest day. Wind gusts approaching 40mph Saturday afternoon are possible.
Screenshot 2022 04 15 083818
We could see a wetter pattern setting up towards the end of the month.
Screenshot 2022 04 14 160532
Looking further down the line, there is a 59% chance that La Nina will continue through summer…this could negatively impact our summer monsoon season.

My forecast…

For those of you who like to “hear” our forecast, call 877-841-0247.

Pagosa 5 day forecast 4 15 22

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data for April 13th.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
5975/ 19402310/ 1951

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