More showers Thursday night – Saturday will be beautiful…

The snow was fun up at Wolf Creek today!… Pic taken 3/30/2022

Wednesday – 30 Mar 2022 – 6:30pm

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temp this afternoon was 49. The low this morning was 34. The peak wind at the airfield today was 29mph.

Precip summary… Wolf Creek reported 6” in the last the 24 hours and 11” for the storm.

*CoCoRaHS 24-hour liquid equivalent precip reports range from 0.08” to 0.52”*

*CoCoRaHS 24-hour snowfall reports range from 0 to 4.7”*

Forecast discussion…

The trough moved through earlier this afternoon. Showers popped up over the mountains and a good band of showers and thunderstorms developed over parts of southeastern Archuleta County and moved south. Winds got gusty behind the trough this afternoon.

Thursday afternoon scattered showers will start over the mountains and then become more widespread by midnight. We’ll see on and off showers until the trough moves through Friday morning. The snow level will bounce around between 6,500ft and 8,500ft.

Saturday through Sunday morning ridging will build over the region and give us sunny skies and seasonal temps.

Sunday afternoon clouds will increase ahead of another weak system. A few spotty showers will pop up over the mountains in the afternoon and become more widespread after midnight.

Satellite this afternoon: The trough moved through earlier this afternoon. The Thursday night system is moving through ID and NV. It doesn’t have much moisture and won’t pick up much more before it moves through our area.

*Radar this afternoon: The trough that moved through earlier today got more active after it moved through. There is hardly any precip associated with the next system.*

My forecast…

Thursday night and Friday morning – The best chance for showers is midnight Thursday to sunrise on Friday. The snow level will bounce around between 6,500ft and 8,000ft. Sunday – Spotty showers will start over the mountains in the afternoon and become more widespread after midnight. The snow level will start around 9,500ft and drop to 8,000ft by sunrise on Monday. * LE = liquid equivalent. * * The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. * — ***Thursday night and Friday morning – The best chance for showers is midnight Thursday to sunrise on Friday. The snow level will bounce around between 6,500ft and 8,000ft.***

*Sunday – Spotty showers will start over the mountains in the afternoon and become more widespread after midnight. The snow level will start around 9,500ft and drop to 8,000ft by sunrise on Monday.*

*** LE = liquid equivalent. * * The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. ***

*NWS snowfall through Friday at 6pm shows less than an inch for Pagosa Springs and 1-4” in our mountains. Most of this will fall between midnight Thursday and sunrise Friday.*

The WPC 24-hour liquid equivalent precip valid Sunday at 6pm to Monday at 6pm shows 0.09” in town and up to 0.25” in our mountains. We’ll be lucky to get a half inch of snow in the valley and the mountains will be in the 2-3” range.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average High	Record High / Year	Average Low	Record Low / Year
52	72 / 1986	19	-8 / 1975

Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.

My next post will be tomorrow.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

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