Vernal equinox and a chance for snow…

Music Man

We had a great time watching one of my all-time favorite musicals…”Music Man” at Pagosa Springs High School last night. Congratulations to the cast, crew and orchestra for such a great job!

3-20-22. 10am update…

The low this morning at Stevens Field was 25 degrees and the high yesterday was 49. As of this post time, we have not recorded any precipitation.

As the first day of spring arrives, winter will attempt to overshadow the change in seasons for the next 36 hours. A trough and surface front will slowly move our direction from the NW today and tomorrow, opening up a 24 hr. rain/snow window for our area. While this system will be relatively tame for us, it will become a decent snow producer for the front range and SE CO and unfortunately, a severe storm producer for Texas as it moves into the plains on Monday.

Look for a cloudy day today as high clouds fill in, then start lowering in the afternoon. There will be a slight chance for a rain/snow combo this afternoon, then turning to all snow by tonight. When you wake up on Monday morning (assuming you don’t have a night shift or enjoy waking up at noon) you could see anything from a light dusting to 2 inches of snow in Pagosa Springs. While there are no watches and warnings up for our area, driving through Wolf Creek Pass tonight and tomorrow morning will be a little tricky with blowing snow and wind gusts to 30mph. I’m expecting 3-6 inches for our nearby mountains from this system.

Trough
A trough to our northwest will slowly drift southeast over the next 24 hrs., giving us a chance for snow and rain as our mid-level winds switch into the SW. Unfortunately, the best moisture from this system will stay to our north and east.
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A very complicated surface map for Monday morning. Cold fronts, warm fronts, drylines, ridges, low pressures and troughs! Spring can be quite entertaining…
StormTotalSnowWeb1 CO 1
Here is the latest Grand Junction NWS snowfall forecast from today through Tuesday morning.
Screenshot 2022 03 20 090630
The latest NWS 3 day forecast model run is predicting 5 inches of snow for Wolf Creek, 2 inches for Chama and around an inch of snow for Pagosa Springs from today-Tuesday.

My forecast…

For those of you who like to “hear” our forecast, call 877-841-0247.

Pagosa 5 day forecast 3 20 22

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data for March 20th.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
5168/ 199717-1/ 1917

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