So much for the humidifier idea…

Forrest

1-11-22: 1:30pm update…

The low this morning at Stevens Field was 8 and the high so far has been 37 degrees. There was no precipitation recorded in our area.

Quite a few cirrus and cirrostratus clouds are drifting over us this afternoon as a wave along the Canadian border drifts eastward. The clouds should start thinning out in the next few hours as drier air aloft moves in from the west.

Over the years, despite computer weather models getting more accurate, I’ve learned that they are still not very reliable over 5 days. Such has been the case this week, when last weekend it really looked promising for some more snow on Friday and Saturday. Unfortunately, as the week has progressed, each model run has become drier and drier. At this point, we will be lucky to see 1/4 inch of snow in the valley and a 1/2 inch in the mountains by Saturday evening. A passing cold front will send our temps back to closer to normal after a week of above normal high temps.

Unless I see moisture moving back into our forecast, my next update will be on Thursday…enjoy the great weather!

Screenshot 2022 01 11 130958
High clouds will be drifting to the east later this afternoon, bringing back mostly clear skies for tonight and tomorrow.
Screenshot 2022 01 11 121413
The latest EURO snowfall forecast model is looking about as dry as you can get!
Screenshot 2022 01 11 121457
The latest GFS model run is forecasting .004 inches of snow for Pagosa Springs through Sunday! We call that a “trace”.

My forecast…

For those of you who like to “hear” our forecast, we are currently experimenting with a “dial up and text” forecast. Call 877-841-0247 and give it a try! Let us know what you think…

The rest of today: Clearing skies with a high in the low 40’s. Winds will be out of the NE 5-10mph.

Wednesday-Thursday: Mostly sunny with lows in the single digits and teens and highs in the mid to upper 40’s… shorts weather for some of us! Light winds 5-10mph each day.

Friday–Saturday: Partly cloudy with a slight chance for snow showers with lows in the teens and 20’s and highs in the upper 30’s to low 40’s. Look for 0-1/4 inch of snow for the valley and 0-1/2 inch for the mountains.

SundayMonday: Mostly sunny with lows in the single digits and teens and highs in the low 40’s.

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data for January 11th.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
3859/ 19564-22/ 1962

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