The models need a humidifier…they are too dry!

I’ve plugged our humidifier into the model runs this afternoon in hopes of producing some more moisture in future runs!

1-10-22: 4:15pm update…

The low this morning at Stevens Field was 10 and the high so far has been 42 degrees. There was no precipitation recorded in our area.

With the exception of a few outlier models, our forecast is getting drier and drier as of this post time. We are still 4 days out so I am not giving up on some snow, but I’m also not very optimistic at this point. Based on what I’m now seeing, if we get more than an inch of snow we will be lucky…and the timing appears to be limited to mainly Saturday.

Stay tuned as I will continue to monitor our models!

nbm conus colorado total snow 10to1 2334400 4
The latest NBM snowfall forecast model is still hanging in there with an inch of snow for Saturday.
nbm conus colorado total snow 10to1 2334400 2
The latest GFS model run is forecasting 0 inches of snow for Pagosa Springs through Sunday.
nbm conus colorado total snow 10to1 2334400 3
The latest EURO model run is forecasting 0 inches of snow for Pagosa Springs through Sunday.

My forecast…

For those of you who like to “hear” our forecast, we are currently experimenting with a “dial up and text” forecast. Call 877-841-0247 and give it a try! Let us know what you think…

The rest of today: Clear skies with a high in the low 40’s. Winds will be out of the NW 5-10mph.

Tuesday-Thursday: Mostly sunny with lows in the single digits and teens and highs in the mid to upper 40’s… shorts weather for some of us! Light winds 5-10mph each day.

Friday Afternoon–Saturday: Partly cloudy with a slight chance for snow showers with lows in the teens and 20’s and highs in the upper 30’s to low 40’s. Look for 0-1 inches of snow for the valley and 1-2 inches for the mountains.

Sunday: Mostly sunny with lows in the single digits and teens and highs in the low 40’s.

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data for January 9th.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
3862/ 19441-22/ 1964

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