There is a whole bunch of snow to play in!… Pic taken 1/6/2022
Thursday – 6 Jan 2022 – 4:45pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temp this afternoon was 41. The low this morning was 12. The peak wind at the airfield was 6mph.
Precip in the last 24 hours… I saw snowshowers over the mountains west through north, but accumulations would be minimal. Wolf Creek got a dusting.
Forecast discussion…
Saturday a weak trough coming from the west will dip a little farther south and will give us more clouds and scattered snowshowers, especially in the mountains.
The models are struggling with next week. A cut-off low is expected to meander just off the southern CA coast and may push pieces of energy into the Four Corners area. It looks like the later part of next week will be more active, but forecast confidence is low.

Side note: It’s bad form to analyze everything in yellow but that shows up best on this map.
My forecast…
Rest of today through tomorrow… There will be a few clouds and patchy morning fog is possible in the low lying areas.
Tomorrow will be a little warmer with highs in the lower to mid-40s. Lows will be 5 to 25.
Saturday… We’ll see a few more clouds and scattered snowshowers, mostly in the mountains. The best chance for snow will be during the day. Highs will be in the mid-30s to lower 40s and lows will be 5 to 20.
Snowfall amounts…
– Valley: 0 to a half inch
– Mountains: 1-2”

Sunday through Tuesday… There will be lots of blue sky with occasional patches of mid and upper level clouds. Highs will be in the upper 30s to mid-40s and lows will be 5 to 20.
Wednesday through Saturday… Maybe more clouds and scattered snowshowers – stay tuned!

Pagosa Springs historical data
Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
35 | 55 / 1956 | -1 | -37 / 1971 |
The first week of January averages are our coldest of the year.
Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.
My next post will be Saturday morning.
– Shawn