Variable smoke and dry through Tuesday…

The Piedra River trailhead and Pagosa Peak around 9:45am when the smoke was moving in. We enjoyed meeting a few Pagosa Weather followers! Pic taken 8/7/2021

The Piedra River trailhead and Pagosa Peak around 9:45am when the smoke was moving in. We enjoyed meeting a few Pagosa Weather followers! Pic taken 8/7/2021

Saturday – 7 Aug 2021 – 4:30pm

Overall situation…

At Stevens Field the high so far today has been 80 and the low this morning was 49. The peak wind at the airfield yesterday was 28mph and so far today it has been 27mph.

*** The Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment has issued the following…

WHAT…Air Quality Health Advisory for Wildfire Smoke.

WHEN…Through 900 AM Sunday August 08

IMPACTS… Widespread smoke has been observed across the advisory area Saturday morning, particularly across northwestern and west-central Colorado where the smoke has been heavy. Smoke will continue to spread from northwest to southeast across the advisory area through Saturday afternoon with areas of moderate to heavy smoke expected through at least Sunday morning.

HEALTH INFORMATION…Public Health Recommendations: If smoke is thick or becomes thick in your neighborhood you may want to remain indoors. This is especially true for those with heart disease, respiratory illnesses, the very young, and the elderly. Consider limiting outdoor activity when moderate to heavy smoke is present. Consider relocating temporarily if smoke is present indoors and is making you ill. If visibility is less than 5 miles in smoke in your neighborhood, smoke has reached levels that are unhealthy. ***

This afternoon we are in the “medium” smoke, and our air sensors are orange which is “unhealthy for sensitive groups”. Much of the region to our west and north are red which is “unhealthy” for everyone.
This afternoon we are in the “medium” smoke, and our air sensors are orange which is “unhealthy for sensitive groups”. Much of the region to our west and north are red which is “unhealthy” for everyone.

The trough moved through this morning. Drier air and smoke have moved in behind it. Smoke will improve a bit tonight but won’t go away. Moisture and instability start increasing Wednesday, so we’ll see better chances for afternoon showers and thunderstorms towards the end of the week.

Satellite this afternoon. It’s harder to see the smoke with a higher sun angle, but it covers much of the region. Drier air behind the trough has resulted in very few clouds over much of the west. Showers and thunderstorms over southern NM are all that’s left of the monsoonal moisture plume.
Satellite this afternoon. It’s harder to see the smoke with a higher sun angle, but it covers much of the region. Drier air behind the trough has resulted in very few clouds over much of the west. Showers and thunderstorms over southern NM are all that’s left of the monsoonal moisture plume.

My forecast…

Today through Tuesday… Expect hazy skies, a few afternoon clouds, and dry weather. High temps will be near 80 to the upper 80s and lows will be near 40 to the lower 50s.  Afternoon winds will peak around 20mph.

Wednesday through Friday… The chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms will go up a little as monsoonal moisture and instability increase slightly.  High temps will be near 80 to the upper 80s and lows will be mid-40s to mid-50s.

Euro precip through Friday at midnight shows less than 0.10” in the valley and up to 0.50” in our mountains.
Euro precip through Friday at midnight shows less than 0.10” in the valley and up to 0.50” in our mountains.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
8294 / 19814532 / 1911

Mark will take over tomorrow.

– Shawn

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I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
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