Rain gods did not get the memo yesterday…

FF Watch

Primarily elevations from 8000 feet and above are under a Flash Flood Watch until Friday night. As of this post, the town of Pagosa Springs is not in a Flash Flood Watch.

7-29-21: 8:45am update: Continued good chances for rain and even Flash Flooding.

There were some big storms that developed yesterday afternoon but they decided to avoid most of our backyards in Pagosa Springs…such is the case with a convective pattern. All of the ingredients will remain in place for the potential for some hefty afternoon storms through the weekend as dewpoints and precipitable water values remain high and moisture continues to flow into the SW around high pressure to our east. A passing mid-level shortwave disturbance will also enhance our rain chances not only for today but tonight as well.

Screenshot 2021 07 29 081347
COCORAHS rainfall reports from yesterday…our Chromo reporter won the rain lottery!
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Yesterday’s remote rainfall sensors showed very little rain in Pagosa Springs but some nice totals to our west, south and NW.
Screenshot 2021 07 29 073850
The latest NWS average 3 day rainfall forecast is looking great!

My forecast…

The rest of today…A good chance for scattered afternoon storms with a high near 80. Storms will slowly move NNW, so look to your SSE. Rainfall totals will range from 0-0.50, but could approach or exceed an inch. Thanks to a passing shortwave disturbance, storms may continue into the evening hours (great for shooting lightning!) There is a Flash Flood watch for higher elevations in our area. Some storms could become severe enough to produce small hail, brief heavy rain, wind gusts over 40mph and lots of lightning!

Friday-Sunday: Continued good chances for afternoon thunderstorms. As is the case with convective activity, there will be rain lottery winners and losers. Each day we could see 0-0.50 inches of rain or higher with double that total in the mountains. Lows will remain in the upper 40’s to low 50’s and highs around 80.

For any of you visiting our area, watch out for rapidly changing weather conditions when storms move in! Temps can drop 20 degrees in minutes, winds can gust to 40mph and lightning and small hail is always a possibility.

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data for July 28th

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
8492 / 19474730 / 1913

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One Response

  1. As you all say……..just depended where you are. We got lots of rain yesterday; 0.42 inches 5 miles NNW of downtown and the east side of downtown had heavy rain and pea sized hail. Just does not show up on your maps.

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