Great lightning show last night! Pic taken by Mark Langford 7/18/2021
Monday – 19 Jul 2021 – 10:10am
Overall situation…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 86 and the low this morning was 54. Yesterday’s peak wind at the airfield was 22mph. Winds with last night’s thunderstorms gusted into the 25-30mph range for some folks.
As usual there was a wide range of precip totals. The good news is that most of the county got measurable precip! The rain lottery winner was Aspen Springs with 0.81”.
There was quite a bit of lightning last night. Keep an eye out for smoke. If you see any, report it.

*** Reminder… There is still a Stage 1 Fire Ban in effect. ***
The upper level high pressure is to our north and pushing weak northeast flow over us. Monsoonal moisture and instability will continue to cause scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. I’m happy to say that I do see not see much change in the pattern for a while!

My forecast…
Today through Sunday… Each morning we’ll wake up to mostly clear skies and then watch the clouds build as it warms up. In the high country the first showers and thunderstorms can develop between 11 and noon and over the valley between 1 and 2pm. The best chance for showers and thunderstorms is 2 to 6pm with a lesser chance until midnight.
It won’t be quite as active today and then will ramp up tomorrow and the rest of the week. By Wednesday, precipitable water is 150% of average – that’s pretty high for us. Expect brief periods of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning. Be leery of flooding in low-lying areas and flash floods near drainages and streams.
Highs will be upper 70s to the mid-80s. Lows will be mid-40s to mid-50s.
Afternoon winds will peak less than 20mph though isolated convective gusts to 40mph are possible near showers and thunderstorms.


Pagosa Springs historical data
Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
82 | 96 / 1989 | 46 | 35 / 1956 |
I might do a quick post tomorrow morning, otherwise, my next post will be Wednesday morning.
– Shawn
3 Responses
Glad Aspen Springs got the winning spot cause right up above them in Oakhill, not so much. Maybe tonight…..
.3″ Lake Forest area. Keep it coming.
Excellent – thanks for the report!