Flowers are popping in the high country! We admired these in the Wolf Creek Pass area on 7/4/2021.
Monday – 5 Jul 2021 – 7:50am
Overall situation…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 88 and the low this morning was 54. Yesterday’s peak wind was 24mph. It occurred around midnight as a band of showers moved through. Those showers dropped up to 0.05” on a few lucky folks.
We’re at the northern edge of the subtropical moisture – the best monsoonal activity is to our south. Looking forward, the upper level high pressure will set up over the Great Basin which will put us under a more northerly and a more stable flow. It’s not an ideal set-up for us, but precipitable water and capes, a measure of instability, stay high enough for scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms to continue. Some days will be more active than others.
My forecast…
Today through Sunday… Clouds will build each day as we warm up. The best chance for showers and thunderstorms will be 2 to 6pm. In the high country, the first few showers and thunderstorms could pop up by noon – keep your eyes on ears open! Brief periods of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, lightning are possible.
Highs will be lower 80s to lower 90s and lows will be lower 40s to lower 50s. Friday will be the warmest day of the week with temps near the top of those ranges.
Afternoon winds will peak less than 20mph, though isolated convective gusts to 40mph are possible near showers and thunderstorms.
Pagosa Springs historical data
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 83 | 95 / 1989 | 41 | 24 / 1912 |
I’ll be out in the woods today and tomorrow so my next post will probably be tomorrow afternoon.
– Shawn
