As of 1pm there are multiple thunderstorms rumbling in Pagosa Country
Update – Sunday 6 Jun 2021 – 1:15pm
As of 1pm there are multiple thunderstorms in Pagosa Country. They are moving very slowly towards the southeast. It looks like parts of Aspen Springs will get a soaking from one of these cells.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible through the afternoon. Lightning, gusty winds, small hail, and brief periods of heavy rain are possible. Do your rain dances – we need it!
– Shawn
Sunday – 6 Jun 2021 – 10:30am
Overall situation…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 83 and the low this morning was 46. Yesterday’s peak wind was 37mph.
Historically June is our driest month with an average of 0.95” of precip. After today we’ll see a typical June, dry and warm pattern for a while.
My forecast…
Today… Cumulus clouds will build as we warm up and turn into scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Afternoon winds will peak around 20mph though 35-40mph is possible near showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the upper 70s to mid-80s and lows will be in the upper-30s to mid-40s.
Monday through next Sunday… Scattered cumulus clouds will develop as it warms up each day, but there won’t be enough instability and moisture for them to build into showers. We’ll be dry and warm all week.
Afternoon winds will peak in the 20-25mph range.
High temps will be in the upper 70s to mid-80s. Lows will be in the mid-30s to mid-40s.
River flow…
There is still snow on north oriented slopes that continues to melt in the high country and make our streams run high. I expect flow to start tapering off this week.
Pagosa Springs historical data
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 75 | 92 / 1946 | 35 | 24 / 1951 |
I’ll probably do a quick update this afternoon, and then my next forecast post will be on Tuesday.
– Shawn
