Almost feels like monsoon season…

Small cell

A small, but noisy cell is moving over Pagosa Peak at 3pm. At 3:15pm I was getting a thunderstorm at my place about a mile north of Hatcher Lake.

6-4-21: 3pm update…And here they come again!

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Scattered PM Poppers are moving in again at 3pm this afternoon.

I know its only early June and the storms are coming from the wrong direction (NE), but if you blur your senses then it does sort of feel like monsoon season around here. It’s great to see scattered storms forming like clockwork in the afternoons although they haven’t dropped much precipitation.

With high pressure baking the west, this pattern will continue at least through Sunday, with better odds moving in for the weekend as a couple of shortwaves rotate around the high pressure. As indicated in the NWS 3 day forecast below, overall average precipitation will remain light. As is the case with convective activity, some of you could see a brief storm adding up to a half of an inch of rain while others get zip, zero noda.

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The latest NWS 3 day rainfall forecast looks a whole lot like yesterday’s forecast!
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COCORAHS rainfall reports from yesterday.

My forecast…

The rest of the day…Partly cloudy with scattered storms moving from NE to SW. Wind gusts to around 20mph except higher in and around the storms. Highs will peak in the mid 70s, then drop back to the upper 30’s and low 40’s overnight.

Tonight through Sunday: A continued NE flow and some shortwaves will give us enough moisture in the mid levels to spark afternoon thunderstorms that will move from north to south. I think precipitation totals through Sunday afternoon will range from 0.10-0.30 for our area and about double that for the mountains. Temps will range from the upper 30’s and low 40’s for lows and upper 70’s to low 80’s for highs depending on how early the thunderstorms form.

-Mark Langford

My weather cam died about a week ago but has now been replaced with a much better one! Check it out on my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
7490 / 19463418 / 1951

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