A WINTER WEATHER WARNING is in effect for the mountains – Pic taken by Brian S. on 12/26/2025
Friday – 26 Dec 2025 – 5:20pm
The past…
Stevens Field Observations
Wednesday: High: 55, Low: 29, Peak Wind: 10mph
Thursday: High: 47, Low: 33, Peak Wind: 10mph
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 38 | 56 / 1980 | 3 | -30 / 1911 |
Precipitation summary… 2-day precip totals in Pagosa Country ranged from 0.06” to 0.42”. Wolf Creek reported 3” of snow.
Current satellite and radar…
Forecast highlights…
*** A WINTER WEATHER WARNING has been issued for the eastern San Juan Mountains above 10,000ft. 6-12” of snow and winds gusting to 50mph are expected between 10pm Friday and 11am Sunday. ***
*** Expect periods of poor visibility, falling snow, blowing snow, and slick roads in the mountains Friday night through Sunday morning. ***
*** Sunday afternoon through Thursday will be mostly sunny, with light winds, warming temps, and dry weather. ***
*** Next Friday through next weekend another storm will move through with more snow. ***
Forecast details…
Friday night through Sunday morning… A trough will move through Sunday morning.
Timing… Scattered showers will gradually increase after midnight tonight, especially over the mountains. Showers are most likely between sunrise Saturday and late Saturday evening. Showers will become more hit and miss after midnight Saturday through Sunday morning.
Snow levels tonight will be around 9,000ft, drop to around 8,000ft by sunset Saturday, and then drop to around 7,000ft late Saturday evening.
Snow amounts…
Mountains above 9,000ft: 8-12”
7,600ft to 9,000ft: up to 1.5”
Below 7,600ft: a dusting to a half inch
Sunday afternoon through Thursday… A ridge will build back over the region. We’ll have mostly sunny skies, light winds, dry weather, and temps will gradually warm to above average.
Temps…
Friday night lows will be in the high 20s to the mid-30s.
Saturday highs will be in the high 30s to mid-40s and lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s.
Sunday highs will be in the low to high 30s and lows will be in the mid-single digits to mid-teens
Monday highs will be in the mid-30s to mid-40s and lows will be in the high single digits to high teens.
Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday highs will be in the mid-40s to low 50s and lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s.
Winds…
Saturday afternoon gusts will be 20-25mph in the Pagosa area. In the high country, winds will gust 40-50mph.
Sunday through Thursday, afternoon peak winds will be around 10mph in the Pagosa area. In the high country, afternoon gusts will be 20-25mph.
2 Jan to 10 Jan… The next low pressure system will move through 2-4 Jan. The good news is that it will be a little cooler, so snow is possible in Pagosa. Behind this system the weather pattern could get quiet again.
The forecast models are fluctuating considerably so I don’t trust them.
The next post will be on Sunday.
– Shawn
