Record high temperature watch…

COOPER and WOODY would love to be part of your family! Come get your doggy kisses at the Humane Society of Pagosa Springs. – pics taken Mar 2025

COOPER and WOODY would love to be part of your family! Come get your doggy kisses at the Humane Society of Pagosa Springs. – pics taken Mar 2025

COOPER is a big, cuddly guy around 11 months old. I’m not sure what he’s mixed with, but he’s friendly, loveable, goofy, and wants to please. He’s just a youngster trying to find his way in the world.

WOODY is an Australian Shepard/Border Collie mix, just over a year old. He’s nervous around people he doesn’t know, but will warm up to you pretty quick. He’s easy to walk on a leash and takes treats gently.

Monday – 24 Mar 2025 – 3:15pm

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temperature on Saturday was 52 and on Sunday it was 59. The low this morning was 23.

The peak wind at Stevens Field on Saturday was 29mph and on Sunday it was 22mph.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
5172 / 194018-3 / 1952

Precipitation summary… There has been no recent measurable precip.

Forecast discussion…

Water vapor satellite Monday afternoon – The jet stream is being forced well to our north by the Rex block along the coast. The American southwest has dry, warm air moving into the region.
Water vapor satellite Monday afternoon – The jet stream is being forced well to our north by the Rex block along the coast. The American southwest has dry, warm air moving into the region.

There is nothing on radar in our area.

Forecast highlights…

*** Potential for record highs Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday. ***

*** Spotty mountain snowshowers Thursday, Friday, and Saturday afternoons. ***

*** More active pattern next week but no big storms on the horizon. ***

Rest of Monday through Wednesday … A ridge will be in control. We’ll stay dry and see temps 15-20 degrees above average.

*** Record high temp watch… Record highs for Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday are 73, 71, and 69. ***

Temps… Monday highs will be near 60 to the high 60s and lows will be in the mid-20s to low 30s.

Tuesday and Wednesday highs will be in the mid-60s to low 70s and lows will be in the mid-20s to mid-30s.

Winds… Afternoon gusts will be around 15mph each day.

Thursday through Saturday… The ridge will move to our east. Upper-level southwest flow will be a little more unstable so spotty showers will develop over the mountains each afternoon. Lucky spots in the mountains could get up to 2” of snow.

Temps… Thursday highs will be in the low 60s to the low 70s and lows will be in the high 20s to mid-30s. Friday highs will be in the mid-50s to mid-60s and lows will be in the mid-20s to low 30s. Saturday highs will be in the low to high 50s and lows will be in the low to high 20s.

Winds… Thursday afternoon gusts will be around 20mph.  Friday and Saturday afternoon gusts will be 25-30mph.

NBM snow to Saturday evening shows 1-3” of snow in our mountains while the northern mountains could get 2-6”.
NBM snow to Saturday evening shows 1-3” of snow in our mountains while the northern mountains could get 2-6”.

The 8-14 day period… The pattern will try to get more active, but I don’t see any big storms on the horizon.

Euro ensemble precip to 6am on 8 Apr shows 0.99” near Pagosa. The inset shows the 15-day snow total for Wolf Creek around 14”. The primary forecast models are all over the place so I don’t trust them.
Euro ensemble precip to 6am on 8 Apr shows 0.99” near Pagosa. The inset shows the 15-day snow total for Wolf Creek around 14”.
The primary forecast models are all over the place so I don’t trust them.

The next post will be on Wednesday.

– Shawn

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I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

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