Warm and sunny Tuesday and Wednesday…

Cimarrona was capped with clouds this morning – pic taken 3/22/2025

Saturday – 22 Mar 2025 – 3:45pm

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temperature on Thursday was 45 and on Friday it was 50. The low this morning was 25.

The peak wind at Stevens Field on Thursday was 23mph and on Friday it was 24mph.

Average High	Record High / Year	Average Low	Record Low / Year
51	69 / 1940	17	-9 / 1944

Precipitation summary… Wolf Creek reported an inch of new snow this morning.

Forecast discussion…

*Water vapor satellite loop from roughly 2:10pm to 3:10pm Saturday – A weak trough will move through northern CO this afternoon. Those are mostly mid and high-level clouds with no precip.*

Radar at 3:30pm Saturday – light snowshowers are falling over the mountains mostly north of I-70. Showers are moving towards the east. — *Radar at 3:30pm Saturday – Light snowshowers are falling over the mountains mostly north of I-70. Showers are moving towards the east.*

Forecast highlights…

*** Highs near 70 in Pagosa Tuesday and Wednesday. ***

*** Spotty mountain snowshowers Thursday, Friday, and Saturday afternoons. ***

*** Weak storm possible Sunday and Monday. ***

Rest of Saturday through Wednesday … For much of this period a ridge will be in control, and we’ll stay dry.

Saturday afternoon a fast-moving trough will move through northern Colorado. We’ll see a few more clouds and maybe a few spotty snowshowers along The Divide. The troughs will help kick up the winds.

Temps…

Saturday highs will be in the low to high 50s and lows will be in the low to high 20s.

Sunday highs will be in the mid-50s to low 60s and lows will be near 20 to the high 20s.

Monday highs will be in the high 50s to mid-60s and lows will be in the low 20s to low 30s.

Tuesday and Wednesday highs will be in the mid-60s to low 70s and lows will be in the mid-20s to mid-30s.

Winds…

Saturday afternoon gusts in the Pagosa area will be 25-30mph and in the mountains gusts to 40mph are possible.

Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday afternoons afternoon gusts will be 15-20mph.

*NBM snow to late Wednesday evening expects us to stay dry while northern CO gets 4-10”.*

Thursday through Saturday… The ridge will move to our east. Upper-level southwest flow will be a little more unstable so spotty showers will develop over the mountains each afternoon. Lucky spots in the mountains could get up to 2” of snow.

Temps… Thursday highs will be near 60 to the high 60s and lows will be in the high 20s to mid-30s. Friday and Saturday highs will be in the mid-50s to low 60s and lows will be in the low to high 20s.

Winds… Thursday and Saturday afternoon gusts will be 20-25mph. Friday afternoon gusts will be 25-30mph.

*NBM snow to Saturday evening shows 1-2” of snow in our mountains while the northern mountains could get 6-16”.*

The 8-14 day period… The pattern will try to get more active, but I don’t see any big storms on the horizon.

Euro ensemble precip to 6am on 5 Apr shows 0.48” near Pagosa. The inset shows the 15-day snow total for Wolf Creek around 6.5”. — *Euro ensemble precip to 6am on 6 Apr shows 0.48” near Pagosa. The inset shows the 15-day snow total for Wolf Creek around 6.5”.*

The next thorough post will be on Monday.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

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