Dry through the 24th – maybe a few snowflakes on Christmas…

A colorful Pagosa Country sunrise – pic taken 12/16/2024

Monday – 16 Dec 2024 – 4:30pm

The past…

There has been no data from Stevens Field since 11:19am on 9 December.

This morning the cold spots dipped into the mid-single digits.

Average High	Record High / Year	Average Low	Record Low / Year
40	60 / 1959	4	-24 / 1940

Precipitation summary… There was no measurable precip in the last 48 hours.

Forecast discussion…

*Satellite Monday afternoon – The ridge, jagged blue line, is pushing low-pressure systems to our north. Behind the ridge is a sloppy, but active pattern.*

There is nothing on radar in our area.

Forecast highlights…

*** Dry with above average temps through 24 Dec. ***

*** Potential for a few snowflakes on Christmas Day ***

Rest of Monday through 24 Dec… Ridging will push systems to our north. We’ll see lots of sun with occasional patches of high clouds, and temps above average.

Winds… Afternoon peaks will be around 10mph.

Temps… Tuesday and Wednesday highs will range from the mid-40s to low 50s and lows will be in the low teens to low 20s. Thursday through 24 Dec highs will be in the high 40s to mid-50s and lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s.

Christmas Day and beyond… The forecast models continue to show a weak low-pressure system moving through Christmas evening/night. Though it’s too early to focus on details, I see potential for an inch of snow in the Pagosa area and 2-4” up at Wolf Creek.

*NBM snow to 26 Dec at 5pm shows around 1” near Pagosa and 2-4” in our mountains. It’s too early to trust these amounts, but I’m happy to be tracking a potential Christmas Day storm.*

More good news… It looks like the weather pattern could stay active through the last week of the year.

My next post will be on Wednesday.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

2 Responses

Wendy adams says:

December 18, 2024 at 5:46 am

Just learned about this site. I love the weather as well.

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1. pweather says:
  
  December 22, 2024 at 4:22 pm
  
  Thank you for following us Wendy!
  
  Reply

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