A storm over Pagosa Peak Wednesday afternoon – pic taken 9/11/2024
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Wednesday – 11Sep 2024 – 5:45pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temperature Monday afternoon was 78 and Tuesday it was 78. The low this morning was 43. The cold spots dipped into the mid-30s.
The minimum relative humidity Monday was 17% with a dew point of 27. Tuesday it was 17% with a dew point of 30.
The peak wind at Stevens Field Monday afternoon was 31mph and on Tuesday it was 17mph.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 75 | 86 / 1956 | 39 | 24 / 1950 |
Precipitation summary… Tuesday morning a couple of folks reported 0.01”, but most reports were zero. Tuesday afternoon was a little more active, but there were still a few zeros.
Forecast discussion…
Forecast highlights…
*** Breezy on Thursday. ***
*** Cold spots could drop below freezing each morning. ***
*** Thursday through Saturday lots of sun, seasonal temps, and dry. ***
*** Fall-like storm Sunday night through Tuesday afternoon. ***
*** Potential for up to 1” snow above 12,000ft Tuesday! ***
*** Cold spots WILL be in the low 30s Tuesday night. ***
Rest of Wednesday… The subtropical high and ridge have weakened and moved to our southeast. Upper-level southwest flow will increase overnight and drier will move in. Storm activity will be done by the time I post this forecast.
Winds… Late afternoon peaks will be around 20mph.
Temps… Lows will be in the mid-30s to the high 40s.
Thursday through Saturday… A low-pressure system will slide well to our north on Thursday. Clouds and precip will miss us to the north, but we’ll get gusty winds.
Drier, more stable air will move in from the southwest and west. We’ll have lots of sun, seasonal temps, and remain dry.
Winds… Thursday afternoon and evening gusts will be 25-30mph. Friday afternoon gusts will be 20-25mph. Saturday afternoon gusts will be 15-20mph.
Temps… Highs will be in the mid-70s to low 80s and lows will be in the mid-30s to mid-40s. *** The cold spots could drop below freezing each morning. ***
Sunday through Tuesday… A strong low-pressure system will move across the western US. We’ll catch the southern end of it.
Sunday clouds will increase through the day and then scattered showers will develop late in the afternoon and overnight, especially over the mountains.
Monday showers will ramp up through the day and overnight.
Tuesday showers will gradually start tapering off late in the morning and into the afternoon.
*** Potential for up to 1” of snow above 12,000ft on Tuesday. ***
Winds… Sunday and Monday afternoons gusts will be 15-20mph. Tuesday gusts will be 20-25mph.
Temps… Sunday highs will be 70-80 and lows will be in the mid-30s to mid-40s. Monday highs will be in the mid-60s to mid-70s and lows will be in the high 30s to high 40s. Tuesday highs will be in the low 60s to low 70s and lows will be in the low 30s to low 40s. *** The cold spots WILL be below freezing Tuesday night. ***
The next forecast post will be on Friday.
– Shawn
2 Responses
Thanks, Shawn!
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