Tommy at Fourmile Falls yesterday – pic taken 4/20/2026
Tuesday – 21 Apr 2026 – 5:00pm
The past…
Stevens Field Observations
Sunday: High: 65, Low: 22, Peak wind: 23mph
Monday: High: 70, Low: 29, Peak wind: 21mph
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 61 | 79 / 1989 | 25 | 9 / 1907 |
Precipitation summary… There has been no recent measurable precip.
Current satellite and radar…
Forecast highlights…
*** Weak chances for isolated afternoon showers through Saturday, but most of us will stay dry. ***
*** Breezy each afternoon Wednesday through next Tuesday. ***
*** Scattered showers Saturday night into Sunday evening. ***
Forecast details…
Wednesday through Saturday afternoon… It’s a wishy-washy, weak weather pattern with the ridge to our east, upper-level southwest flow, and a little instability and moisture. Consider yourself lucky if you see a few afternoon raindrops, but I expect most of us to stay dry.
On Wednesday winds will gust to 35mph as a trough approaches northern Colorado.
Clouds will increase Friday and Saturday ahead of a low pressure system. Afternoon winds will remain breezy.
Saturday night into Sunday evening… A low pressure system will move through the southwest US. An influx of moisture and instability will trigger scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Snow levels will be above 8,500ft.
My precip forecast…
Mountains above 9,000ft; 3-7” of snow
Pagosa Springs area: 0.10” to 0.30” of rain. Folks above 8,000ft could see a few snowflakes mixed with the rain.
Sunday night through next Tuesday… We’ll revert back to the wishy-washy pattern with upper-level southwest flow and a little bit of moisture and instability. We’ll see scattered clouds, but it will stay dry.
Temps…
Tuesday night lows will be near 30 to the high 30s.
Wednesday highs will be in the low to high 60s and the lows will be near 30 to the high 30s.
Thursday, Friday, and Saturday highs will be in the mid-50s to the low 60s. *** Thursday night lows will be in the low to high 20s ***. Friday night lows will be in the mid 20s to the low 30s. Saturday night lows will be in the high 20s to the high 30s.
Sunday highs will be near 50 to the high 50s and *** lows will be in the low to high 20s ***.
Monday and next Tuesday highs will be in the mid-50s to the low 60s and lows will be in the mid 20s to the mid 30s.
Winds…
Wednesday afternoon gusts will be around 35mph in the Pagosa area and 45-55mph in the high country.
Thursday through next Tuesday, each afternoon gusts will be 25-30mph in the Pagosa area and 35-45mph in the high country.
28 Apr to 6 May… There are no big storms on the horizon, but there are a couple of chances for light precip.
Precip amounts have been bouncing around the last 2 days.
It’s mostly dry through Saturday afternoon and then there’s a weak storm Saturday night into Sunday evening. The rest of the period could be active, but precip amounts are light and there’s a lot of uncertainty.
The next post will be on Thursday afternoon.
– Shawn
