Lots of sun and warmer temps…

The “Snowtology” team wished they had more snow to measure today! This is around 7,800ft elevation in the Pagosa Springs area.– Pic taken 1/11/2026

Sunday – 11 Jan 2026 – 2:00pm

The past…

Stevens Field Observations

Friday: High: 32, Low: 11, Peak Wind: 18mph

Saturday: High: 37, Low: 4, Peak Wind: 8mph

Average High	Record High / Year	Average Low	Record Low / Year
37	59 / 1956	4	-22 / 1962

Precipitation summary… There was no measurable precip in the last 24 hours.

Current satellite and radar…

Water vapor satellite Sunday afternoon – A band of high clouds is trying to move into our area from the north, otherwise it’s dry across the region. The big ole ridge, jagged blue line, along the west coast will keep us dry through at the least 21 Jan.

There is nothing on radar in our area Sunday afternoon.

Forecast highlights…

*** We’ll have lots of blue sky and will be dry for a while. ***

*** A storm is trying to take shape 22-24 Jan. ***

Forecast details…

Rest of Sunday and the week… Another blocking ridge will keep most of west US dry. In our area we’ll have lots of sun and light winds. Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday temps will be 10-15 degrees warmer than average.

A weak cold front will move through our area Thursday evening. The only impacts to us are slightly stronger winds on Friday and temps around 10 degrees cooler on Friday and Saturday.

Temps…

Sunday night lows will be near 10 to the low 20s.

Monday highs will be in the mid-40s to low 50s and lows will be in the mid-teens to low 20s.

Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday highs will be in the high 40s to mid-50s and lows will be in the high teens to high 20s.

Friday and Saturday highs will be near 40 to the high 40s and lows will be in the low teens to low 20s.

Next Sunday highs will be in the mid-40s to low 50s and lows will be in the high teens to high 20s.

Winds…

Sunday through Thursday, each afternoon peak winds will be 5-10mph in the Pagosa area and 15-20mph in the high country.

Friday, afternoon gusts will be 10-15mph near Pagosa and around 30mph in the high country.

Next weekend, afternoon peak winds will be 5-10mph in the Pagosa area and 15-20mph in the high country.

*NBM precip to 11pm on 21 Jan shows nothing for most of Colorado.*

18 Jan to 26 Jan… Most of this period will be dry but a storm is trying to take shape 22-24 Jan.

These are the 15-day ensemble precip totals for the four primary models. In the upper left, Euro ensemble shows 0.45” in the Pagosa area. In the upper right, Euro AI ensemble shows 0.51”. In the bottom left, GFS ensemble shows 0.76”. In the bottom right, GFS AI ensemble shows 0.78”. The GFS is more optimistic about a storm at the end of the period. — These are the 15-day ensemble precip totals for the four primary models. In the upper left, Euro ensemble shows 0.45” in the Pagosa area. In the upper right, Euro AI ensemble shows 0.51”. In the bottom left, GFS ensemble shows 0.76”. In the bottom right, GFS AI ensemble shows 0.78”.
*The GFS is more optimistic about a storm at the end of the period.*

*Wolf Creek Euro ensemble 15-day snow shows 7”.*

*Pagosa Springs Euro ensemble 15-day snow shows 3.7”.*

The next post will be on Tuesday.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

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