Lovin’ our winter wonderland! – Pic taken 2/16/2023
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Saturday – 18 Feb 2023 – 10:30am
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temp in the last 24 hours was 39. The low this morning was 6. The peak wind at the airfield was 5mph.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 43 | 60 / 1958 | 8 | -26 / 1942 |
Precipitation summary… There has been no recent measurable precipitation.
Forecast discussion…
There is nothing significant on radar this morning.
Today… The ridge has moved to the east. Flow has switched to more westerly between a trough to the northwest and a low well off the southern CA coast. We’ll see quite a few mid and high level clouds but will stay dry.
Highs will be in the mid-30s to low 40s. Overnight lows will range from the mid-single digits to around 20.
Winds will peak in the 10-15mph range this afternoon.
Sunday and Monday… We’ll see more clouds and a slight chance for light scattered snowshowers Sunday afternoon through Monday, mostly over the mountains. The chance for snow will increase a little Monday night. We’ll be lucky to see a snowflake or two in the valley, but the lucky spots in the mountains could get up to 1”.
High temps will be in the high 30s to mid-40s and lows will range from the low teens to low 20s.
Winds will gust into the 20-25mph range Sunday afternoon and then 15-20mph Monday afternoon.
Tuesday and Wednesday… Storm 1… Things are lining up for another round of decent snow. Snow and winds will ramp up Tuesday evening. The heaviest snow is likely early Wednesday morning into Wednesday afternoon. The strongest winds will be late Wednesday morning to late Wednesday evening resulting in blowing snow and occasional white-out conditions. Scattered snowshowers will persist Wednesday night, especially over the mountains.
Winds… Tuesday afternoon winds will gust to around 20mph and then increase through Tuesday night. By sunrise on Wednesday winds will be in the 25-35mph range. Winds will continue to increase through Wednesday morning and will gust 40-45mph late morning to late evening. Winds will decrease some Wednesday night but still gust into the 20-30mph range. Winds in the mountains will gust 50-60mph from roughly 11am to 11pm Wednesday.
Temps… Highs Tuesday will be in the upper 30s to low 40s and lows will be in the mid-20s to low 30s. Temps Wednesday will be colder with highs in the low to high 30s and lows in the mid-single digits to mid-teens.
*** Wednesday from early morning to early evening expect periods of heavy snow, winds gusting 35-45mph, blowing snow, and white-out conditions. ***
*** Weather and travel conditions will start out rough early Wednesday morning and get worse through the day! ***
My snow forecast…
Valley: 7-14”
Mountains: 20-30”
Thursday through Friday night… Storm 2… This storm won’t be as organized and will have less moisture. There will be a bit of a lull during the day Thursday, but clouds and scattered snowshowers will persist. Snow will ramp up again Thursday night and into Friday morning, and then get more showery Friday afternoon.
Winds will occasionally gust into the 20-30mph range.
Temps… Thursday highs will be in the mid-20s to low 30s and lows will be in the low teens to low 20s. Friday will be a little warmer with highs in the low to high 30s and lows in the low teens to low 20s.
My snow forecast…
Valley: 3-7”
Mountains: 8-16”
*** We will have a prolonged period of winds gusting over 20mph Tuesday night to Friday evening. Blowing snow and periods of poor visibility will result in poor travel conditions. Don’t be surprised to see your driveways and the roads fill in with snow shortly after they’re cleared! ***
My next post will be on Monday unless I see a significant change to the forecast.
– Shawn
2 Responses
Nice photo!
Thank you, Roz
– Arleen