If you liked yesterday, you’ll love this entire week!

Storm

Storms are already firing up at Pagosa Peak at noon today…Photo by Mark Langford

Monday – 25 Jul 2022 – 12:20pm update.

The past…

The high on Sunday at Stevens Field was 80 and the low this morning was 57. The lowest humidity reading yesterday was 32 percent and the highest wind gust was 23 mph. Rain was plentiful and widespread for the most part.

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COCORAHS rainfall reports over the past 24 hours.
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Remote sensor rainfall reports from the past 24 hours.
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Weather station rainfall totals from last night connected to Weather Underground.

Forecast discussion…

Thanks to everyone who posted their rainfall totals from yesterday! Shawn and I are feeling a little “rain envy” after seeing that some of you in the Meadows area got over 2 inches of rain and we only got close to a third of an inch north of Hatcher Lake. I think the rain gods were having a little fun at the expense of the weather forecasters! As I mentioned yesterday, even under ideal conditions, there will be rain lottery winners and losers due to the convective nature of afternoon storms…we just hope that over a week’s period of time that rainfall totals will average out so that everyone ends up with a couple of inches of rain.

Moisture in the mid-levels and surface continues to flow into our area, increasing our precipitable water values to over an inch (monsoon conditions). Add in a little daylight heating and “presto”, we will continue to see a great chance for widespread PM Poppers all week. As was the case yesterday, these will be very slow-moving storms that can drop several inches of rain in a short period of time. High temps will continue to top off at or below average, staying in the mid 70’s and low 80’s.

For all of you visiting our beautiful area, please be careful when you go out on hikes, especially in the afternoons. Totally clear mornings can quickly turn into stormy afternoons with 20-30 degree drop in temps, heavy rain, hail, lightning and gusty winds over 40mph! Make sure you pack rain gear because being wet when temps drop to the 50’s can be more than uncomfortable…it can be dangerous.

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With high pressure being nudged to our east, mid-level winds will be drawing in moisture from the SW all week long.
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Precipitable water will be rising to over an inch by this afternoon, indicating that moisture is moving back into our area and storms will be on the increase. A trough in the NW part of the state is drying out their atmosphere and will cut off their monsoon flow for a few days.
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We are in the Yellow Zone (10-20% chance) for excessive rainfall today. As we saw yesterday, several inches of rain call fall in a short period of time.
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The latest NWS 3-day rainfall forecast is predicting 0.60 for Pagosa Springs, and an inch for Chama and the mountains, but as we witnessed yesterday, these totals will vary.

My forecast…

Pagosa 5 day forecast 7 25 22
* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. * With showers and thunderstorms expect brief periods of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning.

Pagosa Springs historical data for July 24th

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
8294/ 19404836 / 1995

Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

-Mark Langford

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2 Responses

  1. No rain today, 25th, for hidden Valley after large amounts yesterday……but lightning did hit a big Ponderosa Pine on my lot.

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