Boot Jack Ranch, formerly known as At Last Ranch, always looks great with fresh snow… Pic taken 2/17/2022
Thursday – 17 Feb 2022 – 8:00pm
At Stevens Field the high temp this afternoon was 35 and the low this morning was 25. The peak wind at the airfield was 21mph.
Precip in the last 24 hours… We got a whole bunch of snow reports and pictures – thanks! Reports varied considerably from 1” to 8”. Arboles, Ignacio, Aspen Springs, South Fork, highway 160 near the Piedra River bridge, upper and lower Blanco, and south along highway 84 from Echo Canyon Reservoir to the Chromo area all reported 4-8” – much more than I expected! Areas near town and Pagosa Lakes were more in line with my forecast. Wolf Creek ended up with 6”.
High pressure will keep us dry Friday through Sunday.
Monday afternoon through Thursday morning a low pressure system is expected to slowly move through the Great Basin. Things are lined up nicely for us to get a good round of snow: southwest flow causing orographic lift over our mountains, moisture, and storm energy.
Tonight through Sunday… Clouds will gradually clear tonight and then we’ll see mostly clear skies Friday and Saturday. Sunday clouds will start increasing again and winds will pick up in the afternoon. Patchy early morning fog is possible in low-lying areas.
Lows tonight will be -5 to 15 and highs tomorrow will be in the upper 30s to mid-40s. Highs the rest of this period will be in the lower to upper 40s and lows will be in the 5 to 20 range.
Monday afternoon through Thursday morning… We’ll see more clouds and snow. Highs will be in the upper 20s to mid-30s and lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s.
My snowfall forecast…
As always, I’ll tweak the amounts and timing as the storm gets closer and the data gets better.
Pagosa Springs historical data
|Average High||Record High / Year||Average Low||Record Low / Year|
|42||67 / 1943||8||-30 / 1910|
Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.
Unless a big change pops up, I’m taking tomorrow off so my next post will be on Saturday. Then I’ll do daily posts through the next storm.