Big ole flakes falling in O’Neal Park!… Pic taken 1/8/2022 at 9am
Saturday – 8 Jan 2022 – 9:30am
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temp in the last 24 hours was 45. The low this morning was missing again. Low temps across the valley averaged 10 to 20 this morning.The peak wind at the airfield was 6mph.
Precip in the last 24 hours… It’s snowing across parts of the valley and up at Wolf Creek as I type. Check out tomorrow’s post for amounts.

Forecast discussion…
Today a weak trough coming from the west will move through this evening and give us more clouds and scattered snowshowers.
Sunday through most of Wednesday will be mostly dry, however the mountains could see a few snowflakes Tuesday.
Starting Wednesday night and into Saturday afternoon a cut-off low will slowly move through the Four Corners region and keep things unsettled. Moisture and storm energy will be weak so precip amounts will be on the low end.

Side note: It’s bad form to analyze everything in yellow but that shows up best on this map.

My forecast…
Today… We’ll see mostly cloudy skies and scattered snowshowers. The heaviest snow will fall between now and late afternoon, but it won’t amount to much. Spotty snowshowers will linger over the mountains until midnight. Highs will be in the 30s and lows will be 5 to 20.
Snowfall amounts…
– Valley: mostly less than 1” but a few spots closer to the mountains could get 2”
– Mountains: 2-4”

Sunday through Wednesday afternoon… There will be lots of blue sky with occasional patches of mid and upper level clouds. The mountains could see a few spotty snowshowers Tuesday, but they’ll be lucky to get an inch. Highs will be in the upper 30s to mid-40s and lows will be 5 to 20.
Wednesday night through Saturday… Expect more clouds and scattered snowshowers.
First guess snow totals…
– Valley: 1-3”
– Mountains: 3-6”
Mark will dial in the specifics as the data gets better.


Pagosa Springs historical data
Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
36 | 57 / 1956 | -2 | -30 / 1913 |
Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.
Make sure to check out Arleen’s latest long-range outlook.
Mark will take over tomorrow.
– Shawn