Our heatwave continues!

Heatwave

6-16-21: 9am update: Heatwave continues but may be tempered from pm poppers!

Yesterday’s highs were 10-15 degrees above average with a record high of 92 recorded at Stevens Airfield. My weather station hit 92 at almost 8000 feet about a mile north of Hatcher Lake before dropping down into the 80’s as a small cell dropped 0.01 of micro-rainfall on my backyard.

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Auto sensor highs in our area yesterday included a record high of 92 degrees at our airport.
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Regional highs yesterday.
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Smoke will continue to obscure our mountain views this week.

High pressure and higher than average temperatures will continue the rest of this week but will slowly return to near normal as our “Hell High” starts weakening above us. Moisture will start increasing in our atmosphere today through Saturday and will lead to increasing odds for afternoon scattered thunderstorms for Friday and Saturday. Unfortunately, these storms will do a better job causing lightning than dropping much rain.

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Precipitable water valid Friday at 6pm – Available moisture in the atmosphere will gradually increase today through Saturday.

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Latest 3 day NWS rainfall forecast is not very impressive., but better than zero!

My forecast…

The rest of the day…Partly cloudy, some smoke and scattered storms building up mainly over the mountains but we could see some rain in town. Wind gusts to around 20mph except higher in and around the storms. Highs will peak in the lower 90s, then drop back to upper 40’s and low 50’s overnight. There is a good chance that another record high will be established for our airport today since the record for this date is 88 and we will most likely hit at least 90.

Thursday through Saturday: Look for our highs to continue to run above average and pm poppers but I’m hoping we fall out of the 90’s by Friday as there will be more cloud cover and the best odds for storms on Friday and Saturday. Lows will continue to range from the upper 40’s to 50’s. I think precipitation totals through Saturday afternoon will be 0.10-0.30 for our area and about double that for the mountains. Since these will be wildly scattered storms there will be rain lottery winners and losers as usual. With fire restrictions in effect, (see Arleen’s latest post) any rain will help!

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
7888 / 19853624 / 1970

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