Sunset clouds over Graham Peak – Pic taken 12/20/2025
Wednesday – 24 Dec 2025 – 5:15pm
The past…
Stevens Field Observations
Monday: High: 58*, Low: 24, Peak Wind: 9mph
Tuesday: High: 58**, Low: 23, Peak Wind: 3mph
* New record high beat previous record high of 57 set in 1906. *
** New record high beat previous record high of 56 set in 1906. **
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 38 | 56 / 1943 | 4 | -34 / 1990 |
Precipitation summary… There has been no recent measurable precip.
Current satellite and radar…
Forecast highlights…
*** Christmas rain for Pagosa and snow for Wolf Creek. ***
*** Wednesday night through Sunday morning expect periods of poor visibility, falling snow, and slick roads in the mountains. ***
*** Sunday afternoon through next Wednesday will be mostly sunny, with light winds, warmer than average temps, and dry weather. ***
Forecast details…
Wednesday night through Sunday morning… A low will wobble around the CA coast region. This puts us on the eastern edge of moisture and precip. Two bands of moisture and precip will move through our area.
The first will move through Wednesday night into early Friday morning. The second will move through Saturday morning through Sunday morning. Hit and miss showers are likely between the two bands of showers.
Expect periods of winter driving conditions in the mountains with poor visibility, falling snow, and slick roads.
Precip amounts Wednesday night through Friday night…
Mountains above 10,000ft: 3-6” of snow
Pagosa area: 0.10” to 0.25” of rain
Most of the precip will fall midnight Wednesday to midnight Thursday.
Precip amounts early Saturday morning through Sunday morning…
Mountains above 8,500ft: 3-6”
7,500ft to 8,500ft: up to 1” – would fall night and then melt during the day
Below 7,500ft: a dusting at best
Sunday afternoon through next Wednesday… A ridge will build back over the region. We’ll have mostly sunny skies, temps 10 degrees warmer than average, light winds, and dry weather.
Temps…
Wednesday night lows will be in the high 20s to high 30s.
Christmas and Friday highs will be in the mid to high 40s. Christmas night lows will be in the low to high 30s. Friday night lows will be in the mid-20s to the mid-30s.
Saturday and Sunday highs will be in the high 30s to mid 40s. Saturday night lows will be in the high teens to high 20s. Sunday night lows will be near 10 to the high teens
Monday highs will be in the low to high 40s and lows will be in the near 10 to near 20.
Tuesday and next Wednesday highs will be in the mid-40s to low 50s and lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s.
Winds…
Thursday, Friday, and Saturday afternoon gusts will be 15-20mph in the Pagosa area. In the high country, winds will gust 35-45mph.
Sunday through next Wednesday, afternoon peak winds will be around 10mph in the Pagosa area. In the high country, afternoon gusts will be 20-25mph.
31 Dec through 8 Jan… The forecast models are all over the place for this period. The good news is that the pattern should remain active. Outcomes range from light amounts of precip to another pretty good storm.
The forecast models are fluctuating considerably so I don’t trust them.
Merry Christmas!
The next post will be on Friday.
– Shawn
